Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...
Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...
Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...
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Rivers, lakes <strong>and</strong> wetl<strong>and</strong>s make a major contribution to <strong>the</strong> quality of life in Europe;<br />
<strong>the</strong>y are also important to <strong>the</strong> maintenance of biodiversity. However, during <strong>the</strong><br />
2003 drought, terrestrial, freshwater <strong>and</strong> coastal ecosystems were all put under<br />
exceptional stress, with increased risk of biodiversity loss (AVEC, 2003). Fish kills<br />
due to high temperature <strong>and</strong> increased pollution loads <strong>and</strong> low flows were reported<br />
as far north as Scotl<strong>and</strong>, while eutrophication affected many sou<strong>the</strong>rn lakes <strong>and</strong><br />
rivers. In <strong>the</strong> 2003 crisis, emergency exemptions from environmental legislation (e.g.<br />
on discharging heated water from power stations) were taken at <strong>the</strong> expense of <strong>the</strong><br />
environment. Across much of Europe, <strong>the</strong> summer of 2003 was <strong>the</strong> warmest on<br />
record (in a series extending back over 240 years). The associated heat stress is<br />
estimated to have contributed to <strong>the</strong> deaths of more than 30,000 people. The<br />
exceptionally dry soil conditions <strong>and</strong> clay shrinkage caused structural damage to<br />
buildings <strong>and</strong> increased leakage from water supply pipes. In sou<strong>the</strong>rn Engl<strong>and</strong>,<br />
insurance claims for building subsidence have been estimated to increase by €400<br />
million in 2003 due to <strong>the</strong> exceptionally dry soil conditions.<br />
Most climate change predictions indicate that <strong>the</strong>re will be an increase in climate<br />
variability. The climate will alternate more rapidly between increased extremes. In<br />
<strong>the</strong>se scenarios drought impacts described above will be more frequent <strong>and</strong> more<br />
extreme, <strong>and</strong> in some areas, will last longer.<br />
V.B.7. A <strong>European</strong> Framework for Drought Mitigation<br />
While <strong>the</strong> 2003 drought set a number of records, Europe has experienced more<br />
extreme drought conditions <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> tendency for dry years to form clusters increases<br />
<strong>the</strong> magnitude of <strong>the</strong> drought threat. For example, any repetition of <strong>the</strong> sustained<br />
rainfall deficiencies that were a feature of a 25-year period beginning in <strong>the</strong> 1880s<br />
would, with present dem<strong>and</strong> levels, represent a very severe challenge to water<br />
management throughout much of Europe. Longer-term (last 1000+ years) climate<br />
information suggests that droughts of even greater severity, spatial extent <strong>and</strong><br />
duration have occurred. Thus, on <strong>the</strong> grounds of climate variability alone, <strong>the</strong>re is a<br />
need for pan-<strong>European</strong> drought mitigation strategies; this need will become more<br />
compelling as climate change causes increased temperatures <strong>and</strong> changes in rainfall<br />
patterns.<br />
A recent succession of severe <strong>and</strong> extensive droughts has led to a fundamental<br />
reappraisal of drought mitigation strategies in <strong>the</strong> USA, Australia <strong>and</strong> South Africa.<br />
The 2002 drought in <strong>the</strong> USA in particular stimulated many water conservation <strong>and</strong><br />
dem<strong>and</strong> management initiatives. Similarly, <strong>the</strong> recent drought in Australia has led to<br />
a wide-ranging approach to ameliorating drought impacts <strong>and</strong> reducing long-term<br />
pressures on water resources at national <strong>and</strong> state level. In <strong>the</strong> same way, Europe<br />
should view 2003 as a wake-up call. The 2003 drought should be <strong>the</strong> catalyst for<br />
actions aimed at reducing drought impacts across all relevant sectors.<br />
Policy framework<br />
Despite its profound effects, drought receives scant attention in many areas of<br />
<strong>European</strong> policy. In respect to agricultural policy, droughts are rarely mentioned –<br />
<strong>and</strong> yet droughts have major impacts, both direct (water stress in all plants, reduced<br />
water for irrigation, increased water pumping / transportation costs) <strong>and</strong> indirect (soil<br />
erosion <strong>and</strong> desertification).<br />
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