Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...
Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...
Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...
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atmosphere (Liu et al. 2000). With increasing atmospheric CO2, coastal waters, now<br />
under-saturated with respect to CO2, has turned into a net carbon sink. In an attempt<br />
to include <strong>the</strong> continental shelf pump into a global circulation model, Yool <strong>and</strong><br />
Fasham (2001) estimated a net uptake of 0.6Gt C.yr -1 imputable to <strong>the</strong> continental<br />
shelf pump. Even in river-dominated coastal systems like <strong>the</strong> East China Sea,<br />
Tsunogai et al. (1999) have estimated a mean air-to-sea flux per unit area of 35<br />
gC.m -2 .yr -1 . In comparison, <strong>the</strong> Baltic Sea absorbs 11 gC.m -2 .yr -1 (Thomas <strong>and</strong><br />
Schneider 1999). High biological activity stimulated by increasing input of nutrients,<br />
on <strong>the</strong> one h<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> decoupling in time <strong>and</strong> space of <strong>the</strong> production <strong>and</strong><br />
respiration processes, on <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r h<strong>and</strong>, have been highlighted by Thomas et al.<br />
(2004) as main controlling factors of <strong>the</strong> water pCO2 in <strong>the</strong> North Sea, characterized<br />
by a net sink of 8.5 TgC.yr -1 , most of it being exported to <strong>the</strong> North Atlantic Ocean.<br />
Frankignoulle <strong>and</strong> Borges (2001) estimated an annual sink of ca. 90 to 170 Mt C for<br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>European</strong> continental shelves with, however, a large variability in time <strong>and</strong> space<br />
depending on <strong>the</strong> physical conditions (temperature, stratification) <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> duration of<br />
<strong>the</strong> phytoplankton growing season. According to <strong>the</strong> authors, situations of pCO2<br />
super-saturation in coastal waters (i.e. source of atmospheric CO2) can occur, for<br />
example, in winter time with low productivity, in direct influence by rivers with<br />
supersaturated water, in period <strong>and</strong>/or areas of intense vertical mixing <strong>and</strong> sediment<br />
re-suspension. In <strong>the</strong> well-mixed English Channel, CO2 under-saturation only occurs<br />
from May to July when light is optimal for primary production (Frankignoulle <strong>and</strong><br />
Borges 2001). Under global warming <strong>and</strong> increased stratification, <strong>the</strong> undersaturation<br />
period may increase due to enhanced primary production in <strong>the</strong> upper<br />
layer.<br />
As important as <strong>the</strong> seasonal cycle to identify <strong>the</strong> continental margins as sink or<br />
source of CO2, <strong>the</strong> spatial distance from <strong>the</strong> coast contributes to <strong>the</strong> debate on <strong>the</strong><br />
trophic status of <strong>the</strong> coastal system. According to Gattuso et al. (1998, also in<br />
Frankignoulle <strong>and</strong> Borges 2001), proximal coastal areas directly under <strong>the</strong> influence<br />
of terrestrial inputs may often be considered as net heterotrophic systems with a net<br />
efflux of CO2 to <strong>the</strong> atmosphere. On <strong>the</strong> contrary, distal continental shelves are<br />
autotrophic systems, acting as a net sink of CO2. The impact of climate change on<br />
<strong>the</strong> carbon budget of coastal systems will thus depend on <strong>the</strong> regional manifestations<br />
of <strong>the</strong> dominant forces (e.g. higher runoff, intensification of <strong>the</strong> wind field).<br />
Large inputs of POC <strong>and</strong> high turbidity commonly set upper estuaries upstream of<br />
<strong>the</strong> turbidity maximum zone (TMZ) where freshwater meets seawater, as net<br />
heterotrophic ecosystems with mineralization of POC, resulting in CO2supersaturated<br />
waters. Frankignoulle et al. (1998) showed that <strong>European</strong> estuaries<br />
emit 30 to 60 MtC.yr -1 to <strong>the</strong> atmosphere, representing a CO2 source equivalent to 5-<br />
10% of anthropogenic emissions for Western Europe. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r h<strong>and</strong>, <strong>the</strong> outer<br />
estuaries, downstream <strong>the</strong> TMZ, higher inorganic nutrients from POC mineralization<br />
<strong>and</strong> less turbidity favour <strong>the</strong> production of organic matter through photosyn<strong>the</strong>sis,<br />
making <strong>the</strong> area as a net sink for atmospheric CO2. Körtzinger (2003) measured a<br />
net sink of CO2 of 0.014 PgC.yr -1 in association with <strong>the</strong> most external zone of <strong>the</strong><br />
front created by <strong>the</strong> Amazon River plume in <strong>the</strong> Tropical Atlantic Ocean.<br />
IV.C.7. Coastal biodiversity <strong>and</strong> Ecosystem Shifts<br />
Since 1856, <strong>the</strong> global mean temperature has warmed by a mean of 0.6°C (IPCC<br />
2001). There is new <strong>and</strong> stronger evidence that most of <strong>the</strong> warming observed over<br />
<strong>the</strong> last 50 years is attributable to human activities. Key questions for biologists <strong>and</strong><br />
ecologists are:<br />
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