Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...
Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...
Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...
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water colour problems are thus likely to occur in <strong>the</strong> ‘dry’ eastern areas where <strong>the</strong>y<br />
will be closely correlated with <strong>the</strong> frequency of extreme wea<strong>the</strong>r events.<br />
Transport of DOM to freshwaters represents a significant carbon flux from <strong>the</strong> soils<br />
global carbon pool to <strong>the</strong> hydrosphere (Freeman et al., 2001). Increased CDOM input<br />
would be beneficial for heterotrophic organisms, but at <strong>the</strong> same time it also affects<br />
<strong>the</strong> quality of water resources (Vik <strong>and</strong> Eikebrokk, 1989), reduces light penetration,<br />
including that of damaging UV-B radiation (Schindler <strong>and</strong> Curtis, 1997), changes <strong>the</strong><br />
vertical distribution of solar heating (Schindler et al., 1996), <strong>and</strong> in this way<br />
accelerates <strong>the</strong> effects of global climate warming on <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>rmal structures of lakes.<br />
IV.B.10. BIOLOGY<br />
Small variations in climate can have dramatic effects on environmentally sensitive<br />
high latitude <strong>and</strong> high altitude lakes. In <strong>the</strong>se extreme habitats, whe<strong>the</strong>r shallow or<br />
deep, many species are living at <strong>the</strong> limit of <strong>the</strong>ir capabilities <strong>and</strong> will respond<br />
immediately to changes in ice regime. Big changes can be predicted also in o<strong>the</strong>r<br />
extreme environments like, e.g., temporary lakes in <strong>the</strong> Mediterranean area or<br />
shallow soda lakes in Austria (Kirschner et al., 2002). Seasonal systems that<br />
presently can cope with occasional or periodic drought will experience additional<br />
stress that some species might not be able to survive (Brock <strong>and</strong> van Vierssen,<br />
1992). <strong>Change</strong>s in lake permanence cause temporal habitat fragmentation (Thomas,<br />
2003) that has drastic consequences to <strong>the</strong> biota. Most of <strong>the</strong> species die out <strong>and</strong> will<br />
be replaced by species, which have special adaptations to tolerate intermediate dry<br />
periods.<br />
Microcosm experiments (Petchey et al., 1999) showed that extinction risk in warming<br />
environments depends on trophic position. Warming (+2ºC per week during 7 weeks)<br />
significantly increased primary production, directly through increased temperaturedependent<br />
physiological rates <strong>and</strong> indirectly through changes in trophic structure.<br />
Warming greatly increased herbivore <strong>and</strong> predator extinction frequencies but had<br />
little effect on <strong>the</strong> composition of producers <strong>and</strong> bacterivores leaving <strong>the</strong> latters overrepresented<br />
in warmed communities.<br />
Phytoplankton<br />
<strong>Climate</strong> impacts on phytoplankton via catchment <strong>and</strong> lake processes are<br />
conceptually summarised in Figure IV.B.5. In general, effects of global warming on<br />
phytoplankton dynamics seem to be not fundamentally different in different regions of<br />
<strong>the</strong> world (Gerten <strong>and</strong> Adrian, 2002). In winter, <strong>the</strong> most important wea<strong>the</strong>r-related<br />
effects are those connected with light conditions: for ice-covered lakes biggest<br />
changes are projected in ice duration while in ice-free lakes light conditions depend<br />
mostly on <strong>the</strong> interannual variations in <strong>the</strong> intensity of wind-induced mixing. In<br />
summer, <strong>the</strong> most important wea<strong>the</strong>r-related effects are those associated with <strong>the</strong><br />
projected increases in <strong>the</strong> water temperature <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> enhanced physical stability of<br />
<strong>the</strong> water column in stratified lakes.<br />
Timing of spring bloom<br />
In winter ice-covered lakes <strong>the</strong> timing of <strong>the</strong> phytoplankton spring bloom is mainly<br />
triggered by light availability, controlled by <strong>the</strong> ice characteristics <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> snow on <strong>the</strong><br />
ice. Therefore, strong relationships between <strong>the</strong> timing <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> winter climate were<br />
found in North <strong>European</strong> lakes (Weyhenmeyer et al. 1999). The timing of ice breakup<br />
<strong>and</strong> duration of <strong>the</strong> overturn control light climate <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> transport of <strong>the</strong> nutrients<br />
from hypolimnion to epilimnion (Kilman et al. 1996). In spring, <strong>the</strong> water column is<br />
commonly dominated by diatoms, that typically favour high nutrient conditions, low<br />
light <strong>and</strong> low temperature. Generally, large, heavily silicified species, such as<br />
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