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Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...

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severe flooding were investigated (Wade et al., 2004) <strong>and</strong> an increase in <strong>the</strong><br />

incidence of gastrointestinal symptoms during <strong>the</strong> flood was observed with excess<br />

among people with high susceptibility to infectious gastrointestinal illness. An<br />

analysis of <strong>the</strong> relationship between precipitation <strong>and</strong> waterborne diseases, based on<br />

<strong>the</strong> US EPA waterborne disease database (548 reports outbreaks from 1948-1994)<br />

<strong>and</strong> precipitation data from <strong>the</strong> National Climatic Data Centre, showed that <strong>the</strong>re was<br />

a statistically significant association between <strong>the</strong> two with outbreaks due to surface<br />

water contamination having <strong>the</strong> strongest association with extreme precipitation<br />

during <strong>the</strong> month of <strong>the</strong> outbreak (Curriero et al., 2001). An example of a ra<strong>the</strong>r<br />

severe outbreak is <strong>the</strong> E. coli O157:H7 outbreak following heavy rainfall <strong>and</strong> flooding<br />

in Walkerton, Canada, which cost 6 lives <strong>and</strong> had 65 hospital admissions<br />

(Anonymous, 2000). For developing countries outbreaks of leptospirosis, hepatits E,<br />

malaria <strong>and</strong> diarroheal diseases following floods have also been described. Hunter<br />

(2003) gives a concise review of <strong>the</strong> epidemiology of waterborne disease outbreaks<br />

associated with climate change or extreme whe<strong>the</strong>r events by dividing <strong>the</strong> impact of<br />

climate in three major groups: heavy rainfall events, flooding <strong>and</strong> increased<br />

temperature. Even <strong>the</strong> increased flow rate of rivers will cause more resuspension of<br />

pathogenic microorganisms accumulated in sediments, shorter residence times <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>refore less inactivation of pathogens. In case of ground waters, contamination<br />

originates from manure on <strong>the</strong> l<strong>and</strong> or from wastewater leaking from sewage pipes or<br />

septic tanks. Due to increased water flow rates, transport of pathogens is faster<br />

requiring larger protection zones. Moreover, increased urbanization continues to alter<br />

watersheds <strong>and</strong> freshwater flows, resulting in contamination from both point sources<br />

(factory <strong>and</strong> sewage treatment discharge plant) <strong>and</strong> non point sources (microbecontaminated<br />

runoff from farml<strong>and</strong>s).<br />

The role of water quality in outbreaks is often overlooked <strong>and</strong> underreported; some<br />

waterborne diseases such as salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis <strong>and</strong> giardiasis may<br />

cause only mild discomfort in healthy individuals. Many do not seek medical<br />

attention, dismissing <strong>the</strong> symptoms as food poisoning or stomach flu. The link<br />

between climate-mediated water contamination <strong>and</strong> outbreaks is easy to miss. A twomonth<br />

lag is typical between heavy rainfall <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> detection of groundwater<br />

contamination. One month usually passes before dirtied water causes widespread<br />

illness (Diaz, 1996). Quantifying <strong>the</strong> real threat of waterborne disease is thus difficult<br />

due to <strong>the</strong> fact that many cases, typically gastroenteritis, go unreported: symptoms<br />

usually do not last long <strong>and</strong> are self limiting in healthy people (Bernasconi, 2004).<br />

However gastrointestinal illnesses can be chronic <strong>and</strong> even fatal in children, <strong>the</strong><br />

elderly, pregnant women <strong>and</strong> immuno-compromised people such as transplanted,<br />

people affected by AIDS (acquired immune deficiency syndrome) or diabetes or<br />

undergoing chemo<strong>the</strong>rapy. <strong>Water</strong>borne pathogens can even cause extended<br />

illnesses, such as hepatitis, that last several months even in healthy people <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>y<br />

are often associated with o<strong>the</strong>r serious conditions including hepatic, lymphatic,<br />

neurologic, endocrinologic diseases (ASM, 1998) <strong>and</strong> even increased cancer risk<br />

(e.g. Helicobater pylory <strong>and</strong> MALT lymphoma). Even more concern is due to <strong>the</strong><br />

emergence or re-emergence of new pathogens, antibiotic resistant strains <strong>and</strong> a<br />

larger susceptible population (Gerba et al., 1996). For example, cclimate change can<br />

influence <strong>the</strong> potential for Legionella, an emerging pathogen, to colonize water <strong>and</strong><br />

air conditioning systems (Rose et al., 2001), ei<strong>the</strong>r directly due to increased<br />

temperatures or indirectly (nutrients, association with free living amoebas, such as<br />

Acanthamoeba).<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> change may have effects on different environments <strong>and</strong> thus on associated<br />

diseases: wetl<strong>and</strong>s (encephalitis, malaria, schistosomiasis), permanent water<br />

(filariasis, malaria, schistosomiasis, onchocerciasis), sea surface temperature, height<br />

199

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