Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...
Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...
Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...
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Many studies during <strong>the</strong> 90’s have indicated an atmospheric lifetime of Hg 0 of around<br />
one year, based on mass balance considerations. Field measurements in <strong>the</strong> Arctic<br />
<strong>and</strong> Antarctic during polar spring have, however, shown that under <strong>the</strong>se specific<br />
conditions Hg 0 can behave as a reactive gas with a lifetime of minutes to hours<br />
during MDEs (e.g. Schroeder et al., 1998, Ebinghaus et al., 2002). These MDEs<br />
occur only during a limited time of a few weeks <strong>and</strong> are not representative of <strong>the</strong><br />
overall behaviour of atmospheric Hg 0 . Recent modeling <strong>and</strong> several Arctic field<br />
studies suggest that atmospheric Hg has <strong>the</strong> shortest lifetime when air temperatures<br />
are low <strong>and</strong> sunlight <strong>and</strong> deliquescent aerosol particles are plentiful (Hedgecock <strong>and</strong><br />
Pirrone, 2004). Thus <strong>the</strong> modeled lifetime for a clear sky condition is actually shorter<br />
at mid-latitudes <strong>and</strong> high latitudes than near <strong>the</strong> Equator, <strong>and</strong> for given latitude <strong>and</strong><br />
time of year, cooler temperatures enhance <strong>the</strong> rate of Hg 0 oxidation. Under typical<br />
summer conditions (for a given latitude) <strong>and</strong> cloudiness, <strong>the</strong> lifetime (τ) of Hg 0 in <strong>the</strong><br />
MBL is calculated to be around 10 days at all latitudes between <strong>the</strong> Equator <strong>and</strong> 60°<br />
N. This value is much shorter than <strong>the</strong> generally accepted atmospheric residence<br />
time for Hg 0 of a year or more. Given <strong>the</strong> relatively stable background concentrations<br />
of Hg 0 which have been measured, continual replenishment of Hg 0 must take place,<br />
suggesting a 'multi-hop' mechanism for <strong>the</strong> distribution of Hg, as originally suggested<br />
by Mackay et al. (1995), ra<strong>the</strong>r than solely aeolian transport with little or no chemical<br />
transformation between source <strong>and</strong> receptor.<br />
Primary effects<br />
The effects of increased air temperature are not obvious, but higher temperatures<br />
favour ozone production, increase <strong>the</strong> oxidation rate of Hg 0 to more soluble forms,<br />
<strong>and</strong> may alter <strong>the</strong> partitioning between <strong>the</strong> gas <strong>and</strong> particulate phases which would<br />
effect deposition patterns over time <strong>and</strong> spatial scales.<br />
An increase of seas temperature may cause significant increase of elemental Hg<br />
emission rates from <strong>the</strong> seas that would lead to increase of Hg re-cycling between<br />
<strong>the</strong> atmosphere <strong>and</strong>, possible impacts on coastal zones. Increase in seas<br />
temperature may cause significant changes in biological activity of <strong>the</strong> oceans that<br />
would lead to changes in <strong>the</strong> rate <strong>and</strong> spatial distribution of Hg methylation <strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong>refore Hg redistribution between <strong>the</strong> biotic <strong>and</strong> abiotic marine systems.<br />
<strong>Change</strong>s in precipitation patterns as an increase in precipitation frequency <strong>and</strong><br />
intensity would cause an increase in Hg deposition (input) to marine waters. Higher<br />
frequencies of extreme events that tend to result in increased run-off ra<strong>the</strong>r than <strong>the</strong><br />
water being absorbed by <strong>the</strong> soil would tend to increase Hg loadings transported to<br />
rivers <strong>and</strong> thus seas.<br />
Secondary effects<br />
Higher O3 concentration: it would determine higher rates of Hg oxidation in <strong>the</strong><br />
atmosphere, thus more local dry <strong>and</strong> wet deposition rates to surface waters.<br />
Increased average wind speeds: it would cause higher sea salt aerosol<br />
production, possibly higher levels of reactive inorganic Br compounds, <strong>and</strong> increase<br />
in Hg oxidation that would increase deposition fluxes.<br />
Less sea ice <strong>and</strong> snow cover in <strong>the</strong> Arctic: with greater areas of ocean exposed<br />
MDEs could become more frequent, if more bare l<strong>and</strong> is uncovered <strong>the</strong> almost direct<br />
re-emission of Hg from <strong>the</strong> snow could be reduced increasing <strong>the</strong> Hg loading to <strong>the</strong><br />
Arctic ecosystem.<br />
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