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Hazard anticipation of young novice drivers - SWOV

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not tend to speed constantly, they <strong>of</strong>ten do drive too fast for the<br />

circumstances (e.g. too fast in a curve). Young <strong>novice</strong> <strong>drivers</strong> also more <strong>of</strong>ten<br />

drive late at night and they more <strong>of</strong>ten drive with passengers that might<br />

distract them. Crash involvement is higher and the crashes are also more<br />

serious because <strong>young</strong> <strong>novice</strong> <strong>drivers</strong> more <strong>of</strong>ten drive in older cars with less<br />

active and passive safety features.<br />

7.3. Age, experience and hazard <strong>anticipation</strong><br />

<strong>Hazard</strong> <strong>anticipation</strong> has a cognitive aspect and an emotional and<br />

motivational aspect. The cognitive aspect is the detection and recognition <strong>of</strong><br />

latent hazards, including the prediction <strong>of</strong> how the latent hazard can develop<br />

into imminent hazards. The emotional aspect is the feeling <strong>of</strong> risk associated<br />

with these predictions and the motivational aspect is the willingness to take<br />

actions in order to reduce those feelings <strong>of</strong> risk. These are actions to keep a<br />

safety margin large enough to avert a collision should the latent hazard<br />

materialize. The anticipatory actions could be: 'keeping an eye' on someone<br />

who may start to act dangerously (in case <strong>of</strong> overt latent hazards), looking in<br />

a particular direction from where a road user could emerge on collision<br />

course (in case <strong>of</strong> covert latent hazards), reduction <strong>of</strong> speed and if possible<br />

change <strong>of</strong> lateral position in the lane. Based on the framework <strong>of</strong> Brouwer &<br />

Schmidt (2002) it is assumed that the cognitive, the emotional and<br />

motivational aspects are interrelated. As experience culminates, schemata get<br />

more elaborated. Because <strong>of</strong> these elaborated schemata, known latent<br />

hazards are 'seen' immediately and experienced <strong>drivers</strong> anticipate these<br />

hazards most <strong>of</strong>ten automatically, without (much) conscious awareness. It<br />

could be that 'somatic markers' (Damasio, 1994) help to select the proper<br />

dominant schema. Somatic markers are emotional signals from the viscera<br />

that have developed from emotions felt in previous situations in which a<br />

similar latent hazard had developed into an imminent hazard almost<br />

resulting in a crash. When <strong>drivers</strong> do not detect and recognize a latent<br />

hazard automatically on the basis <strong>of</strong> the selected dominant schema, it is<br />

assumed that what is the monitor in the framework <strong>of</strong> Brouwer & Schmidt<br />

(2002), 'senses' some feeling <strong>of</strong> loss <strong>of</strong> control. This is to say that the driver<br />

may experience something that makes her or him feel that something could<br />

intervene with her or his goals. According to Shallice (1988) this happens in<br />

novel situations, when the situation is such that deliberate choices have to be<br />

made, when temptation has to be overcome or when there is a sense <strong>of</strong><br />

danger without exactly knowing what. The monitor inhibits the CS and then<br />

activates the SAS. The problem is processed in working memory. The result<br />

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