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Hazard anticipation of young novice drivers - SWOV

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planning <strong>of</strong> a trip, choice <strong>of</strong> the mode <strong>of</strong> transportation, choice <strong>of</strong> route and<br />

time <strong>of</strong> driving. An example <strong>of</strong> a strategic choice is taking the short route<br />

through the village instead <strong>of</strong> taking the longer but easier route around the<br />

village. On the tactical level <strong>drivers</strong> choose their cruising speed and headway<br />

(the time interval between the car ahead and the own car). This implies<br />

considering manoeuvres such as overtaking or not in various road and traffic<br />

situations. Choices at the tactical level do not include the fast reactions in<br />

case <strong>of</strong> acute dangers but rather the choices for actions to keep a safety<br />

margin that is large enough to avert a crash should a hazard materialize.<br />

Choices on the operational level concern the second-to-second execution <strong>of</strong><br />

basic lateral and longitudinal control tasks <strong>of</strong> driving (steering, braking, gear<br />

shifting) required to keep the car in lane and to avoid crashes. Although<br />

hazard <strong>anticipation</strong> on the strategic level does exist (e.g. 'It snows and it is<br />

dark. As I am an inexperienced driver and not used to drive in these<br />

dangerous conditions, I will not take the car but will take the train instead.'),<br />

hazard <strong>anticipation</strong> on the strategic level will not be discussed in this thesis.<br />

This thesis is about hazard <strong>anticipation</strong> on the tactical level. The operational<br />

level is only relevant as far as decisions made at the tactical level require the<br />

execution <strong>of</strong> task in relation to the appropriate course and speed. However,<br />

the reflexes at the operational level in cases <strong>of</strong> immanent threats (e.g. hard<br />

braking when a child that was not expected suddenly crosses the road a few<br />

metres ahead from between parked cars), is not discussed in this thesis. As<br />

this chapter is about the underlying factors that affect hazard <strong>anticipation</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>young</strong> <strong>novice</strong> <strong>drivers</strong>, hazard <strong>anticipation</strong> itself is not discussed in this<br />

chapter, but will be discussed in the next chapter (Chapter 3). The fifth<br />

category is about the task demands and exposure to specific road and traffic<br />

situations. How difficult the driving task is depends on the speed and the<br />

vehicle type one is driving, the behaviour <strong>of</strong> other road users in the vicinity<br />

<strong>of</strong> the driver, the road and the road environment (e.g. an intersection or a<br />

motorway) and the (weather) conditions (rain, fog, day and night).<br />

The four factors in the column to the right <strong>of</strong> each category in Figure 2.1<br />

are factors that are supposed to be constituent for that specific category. In<br />

order to keep the taxonomy convenient, only four factors are mentioned for<br />

each category. There is not necessarily a direct relationship between a factor<br />

in a particular layer and the factor directly underneath or above this factor in<br />

another layer. Although there are no relationships between the boxes to the<br />

left in one layer and a box directly underneath or above in another layer (e.g.<br />

between 'Peer group influences' and 'Fatigue'), there are relationships<br />

between the layers at the categorical level (the most left column). The idea is<br />

that <strong>drivers</strong> have to balance their capabilities (a product <strong>of</strong> biological aspects,<br />

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