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The Future of Smallholder Farming in Eastern Africa - Uganda ...

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Specifically, the Government policies focused on deregulation and adoption <strong>of</strong> a market<br />

based <strong>in</strong>centive system to channel resources to productive uses as well as the<br />

liberalization <strong>of</strong> trade and market<strong>in</strong>g and removal <strong>of</strong> price controls to make the<br />

economy more competitive. Kenya had recognised the need to open up its economy<br />

and there has been arguments advanced to expla<strong>in</strong> the stall<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> the reforms. 9, 10<br />

KEGEM uses the 1986 Kenyan <strong>in</strong>put-output and social account<strong>in</strong>g matrix tables to<br />

explore the implications <strong>of</strong> the trade liberalization process on the country’s agricultural<br />

economy. <strong>The</strong>re are three sectors identified <strong>in</strong> our analysis: agriculture, manufactur<strong>in</strong>g<br />

and services. <strong>The</strong> orig<strong>in</strong>al <strong>in</strong>put-output tables and social account<strong>in</strong>g matrix have 37<br />

production activities. Ten household groups (three urban and seven rural) are used and<br />

disaggregated on the basis <strong>of</strong> level <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>come for the urban and land ownership for rural<br />

households. Five labour categories are also identified.<br />

Elasticity parameters used <strong>in</strong> KEGEM (Table 3 and Table 4) are assumed s<strong>in</strong>ce no<br />

estimates existed for Kenya. Table 4 shows the <strong>in</strong>come elasticities <strong>of</strong> the l<strong>in</strong>ear<br />

expenditure system. <strong>The</strong> Frisch parameter shows the relationship between price<br />

elasticities and expenditure elasticity <strong>in</strong> the context <strong>of</strong> an additive utility specification,<br />

which is assumed <strong>in</strong> the l<strong>in</strong>ear expenditure system.<br />

9 Some authors have noted that the implementation <strong>of</strong> reforms s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>in</strong>ception to late 1991 was not<br />

characterised by public controversy (Ikiara et al. 1993)<br />

10 A key argument for the policy <strong>in</strong>ertia that developed towards the end <strong>of</strong> the 1980s was that Kenya’s<br />

economic agenda could not resist political change that was encompass<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Africa</strong>. <strong>The</strong> government<br />

concentrated its energy ensur<strong>in</strong>g political survival rather than undertak<strong>in</strong>g much needed economic<br />

reforms. Given the short-term costs <strong>of</strong> policy prescriptions made, political expediency overruled the<br />

significance <strong>of</strong> economic reforms.

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