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The Future of Smallholder Farming in Eastern Africa - Uganda ...

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ANNEX TABLES<br />

Annex 1.1: Notes on price discovery<br />

By G.R Tomek and L.K Rob<strong>in</strong>son, 1981, London: Agricultural Market<br />

Product Prices, Cornell University.<br />

<strong>The</strong> process by which buyers and sellers arrive at specific prices and other terms <strong>of</strong><br />

trade is known as price discovery. <strong>The</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g are some <strong>of</strong> the major categories <strong>of</strong><br />

price discovery:<br />

i. Informal negotiation between <strong>in</strong>dividuals – a range <strong>of</strong> prices rather<br />

than a s<strong>in</strong>gle equilibrium is likely to prevail. This range may reflect<br />

imperfections <strong>in</strong> the pric<strong>in</strong>g method, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the relative barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

power and trad<strong>in</strong>g skills <strong>of</strong> the participants. Price report<strong>in</strong>g where so<br />

much variability exists is time-consum<strong>in</strong>g, expensive, and sometimes<br />

<strong>in</strong>accurate. This system <strong>of</strong> pric<strong>in</strong>g becomes progressively less<br />

satisfactory as the volume <strong>of</strong> production per farm <strong>in</strong>creases and the<br />

opportunity cost <strong>of</strong> time spent <strong>in</strong> barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g rises. For this reason, as<br />

agriculture becomes more commercialized, the price a farmer receives<br />

is less likely to be determ<strong>in</strong>ed by <strong>in</strong>dividual negotiations.<br />

ii. Trad<strong>in</strong>g on organized exchange or auction, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g both specific<br />

market places and electronic exchange or auctions – Two types <strong>of</strong><br />

trad<strong>in</strong>g occur on organized markets. One is the ‘spot’ or cash market<br />

which <strong>in</strong>volves trad<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> actual commodities, normally on the basis <strong>of</strong><br />

samples. <strong>The</strong> other is <strong>in</strong> futures contracts which specify the m<strong>in</strong>imum<br />

grade or particular grade <strong>of</strong> a commodity which must be delivered <strong>in</strong><br />

fulfillment <strong>of</strong> the contract at some future date.<br />

<strong>The</strong> structure <strong>of</strong> such markets can be viewed as a cont<strong>in</strong>uum from pure<br />

competition to absolute monopoly. A simple division is possible,<br />

iii.<br />

however, between ‘competitive and non-competitive’.<br />

Pric<strong>in</strong>g via formulas – pric<strong>in</strong>g formulas are usually based on some<br />

reported price, such as a quotation derived from a central market or the<br />

price paid to producers <strong>in</strong> a particular region or location. A welldesigned<br />

formula <strong>of</strong>fers the advantage <strong>of</strong> provid<strong>in</strong>g an impersonal,<br />

prompt, and low-cost method <strong>of</strong> adjust<strong>in</strong>g prices. Once adopted, a<br />

pric<strong>in</strong>g formula makes it possible to change prices more or less<br />

automatically <strong>in</strong> response to changes <strong>in</strong> the designated base price or<br />

whatever movers are <strong>in</strong>corporated <strong>in</strong> the formula.<br />

iv. Barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g conducted by producer associations or co-operatives –<br />

Dissatisfaction with price levels and other terms <strong>of</strong> trade has led<br />

farmers, <strong>in</strong> some cases, for form barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g associations or coperatives<br />

<strong>in</strong> an attempt to negotiate with buyers. <strong>The</strong> fundamental weakness <strong>of</strong><br />

voluntary association to raise prices on a national scale is that it is<br />

difficult to get everyone to jo<strong>in</strong> especially when the potential benefits<br />

<strong>of</strong> rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g outside <strong>of</strong> the associations are so great.<br />

v. Adm<strong>in</strong>istrative decisions, both <strong>in</strong> the private and public sectors – the<br />

objective <strong>of</strong> government adm<strong>in</strong>istered pric<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> agriculture <strong>in</strong> some<br />

cases is simply to provide a floor under prices <strong>in</strong> years <strong>of</strong> large crops<br />

so as to limit price fluctuations, while <strong>in</strong> others it is to provide<br />

<strong>in</strong>centives to <strong>in</strong>crease production, as dur<strong>in</strong>g World War II. <strong>The</strong><br />

resource allocation function <strong>of</strong> prices is <strong>of</strong>ten sacrificed <strong>in</strong> order to

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