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The Future of Smallholder Farming in Eastern Africa - Uganda ...

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Figure 2. Changes <strong>in</strong> Sources <strong>of</strong><br />

Community Income<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

1981 2001<br />

Wetland 6% 14%<br />

Products<br />

Labour 8% 7%<br />

Brew<strong>in</strong>g 5% 5%<br />

Fish<strong>in</strong>g 19% 17%<br />

Livestock 23% 15%<br />

T d 7% 9%<br />

<strong>The</strong> perceived <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> trade is significant at the 5% level while the <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>come<br />

contributed by wetland products is significant at 1% level. Sign rank test on other trend variables<br />

was not significantly different than what might have been expected by chance. <strong>The</strong> fairly large<br />

change <strong>in</strong> livestock <strong>in</strong>comes is affected by heavy reduction <strong>in</strong> livestock numbers <strong>in</strong> eight <strong>of</strong> the<br />

districts due to <strong>in</strong>security and cattle raid<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the last 15 years, but proves not to be significant<br />

because four <strong>of</strong> the districts further south have experienced <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> the contribution <strong>of</strong><br />

livestock to community <strong>in</strong>comes over the same period. Thus the trend for the lake catchment as a<br />

whole is not clearly significant.<br />

<strong>The</strong> PRA approach had one drawback, <strong>in</strong> that it did not allow for multiple <strong>in</strong>come sources per<br />

household, but rather revealed the overall trends for the community as a whole. This can be<br />

compared to the household level data presented <strong>in</strong> the figures on the follow<strong>in</strong>g page.

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