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The Future of Smallholder Farming in Eastern Africa - Uganda ...

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study, therefore, limited itself to the most recent complete cropp<strong>in</strong>g season (August 2000 to<br />

January 2001) to avoid this shortcom<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>The</strong> household surveys were conducted between May<br />

and September 2001.<br />

Data Analysis<br />

A comb<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>of</strong> analytical tools was used <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g descriptive statistics, measures <strong>of</strong><br />

pr<strong>of</strong>itability and productivity, and simple regressions. <strong>The</strong> study set out to assess the pr<strong>of</strong>itability<br />

<strong>of</strong> improved technologies (maize and cattle) and to establish levels <strong>of</strong> agricultural productivity<br />

for both maize and cattle. In order to assess pr<strong>of</strong>itability, data were collected on quantity and<br />

prices <strong>of</strong> output, and variable <strong>in</strong>puts and fixed <strong>in</strong>puts for both maize and cattle. Pr<strong>of</strong>it is<br />

computed as total revenue less total costs (variable costs plus fixed costs). Comput<strong>in</strong>g fixed costs<br />

for farms with multiple enterprises presents a problem <strong>of</strong> apportion<strong>in</strong>g fixed costs to <strong>in</strong>dividual<br />

enterprises. In this study, total fixed costs for crops were computed and divided by the number <strong>of</strong><br />

the major crops grown by the household. This approach has the underly<strong>in</strong>g assumption that fixed<br />

<strong>in</strong>puts are used uniformly across the different crops. <strong>The</strong>refore, there is a potential <strong>of</strong> under- or<br />

over-estimation <strong>of</strong> fixed cost for an <strong>in</strong>dividual crop. A similar approach was used to compute<br />

fixed costs associated with cattle.<br />

Maize pr<strong>of</strong>its Π mz are given by<br />

∏<br />

mz<br />

= P<br />

mz<br />

Q<br />

mz<br />

−<br />

n<br />

∑<br />

i=1<br />

P<br />

xi<br />

X<br />

i<br />

− FC<br />

mz<br />

where P mz is the output price <strong>of</strong> maize, Q mz is the quantity <strong>of</strong> maize produced, P xi is the price <strong>of</strong><br />

the i th variable <strong>in</strong>put, X i is the quantity <strong>of</strong> variable <strong>in</strong>put i used <strong>in</strong> the production <strong>of</strong> maize, and<br />

FC mz is the fixed cost <strong>in</strong>curred <strong>in</strong> maize production.<br />

Cattle pr<strong>of</strong>its Π ct are given by<br />

∏<br />

ct<br />

= ( P<br />

ct<br />

Q<br />

ct<br />

+ P<br />

mk<br />

Q<br />

mk<br />

) −<br />

m<br />

∑<br />

j=1<br />

P<br />

xj<br />

X<br />

j<br />

− FC<br />

ct<br />

where P ct is the price <strong>of</strong> cattle, Q ct is the number <strong>of</strong> cattle <strong>in</strong> herd, P mk is the price <strong>of</strong> milk, Q mk is<br />

the quantity <strong>of</strong> milk produced, P xj is the price <strong>of</strong> the j th variable <strong>in</strong>put, X j is the quantity <strong>of</strong><br />

variable <strong>in</strong>put j used <strong>in</strong> cattle rear<strong>in</strong>g, and FC ct is the fixed cost <strong>in</strong>curred <strong>in</strong> cattle rear<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Maize pr<strong>of</strong>itability was compared <strong>in</strong> two ma<strong>in</strong> ways. First by controll<strong>in</strong>g for technology (local<br />

versus improved maize), and second, by controll<strong>in</strong>g for scale (land allocated to maize). For cattle,<br />

pr<strong>of</strong>itability was compared by controll<strong>in</strong>g only for technology (type <strong>of</strong> cattle breed). Regression<br />

analysis was used to identify determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> both maize and cattle pr<strong>of</strong>itability. <strong>The</strong>oretically,<br />

the pr<strong>of</strong>it function is a function <strong>of</strong> output and <strong>in</strong>put prices, and it should be non-decreas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />

output prices and non-<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>put prices (Varian 1992).<br />

Maize productivity is simply measured as quantity produced per unit <strong>of</strong> land (tons per hectare), to<br />

be differentiated by improved and local maize varieties. Cattle productivity is similarly measured<br />

as milk produced per lactat<strong>in</strong>g animal (liters by animal) differentiated by improved and<br />

<strong>in</strong>digenous cattle breeds.

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