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trends and future of sustainable development - TransEco

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Figure 1.Dynamic <strong>and</strong> Folding Field <strong>of</strong> Social ActionThis figure depicts physical events (upper right), social <strong>and</strong> institutional processes (lower right),cultural systems (lower left), <strong>and</strong> personal subjective states (upper left) as collectively constituting thereality in which all decision making, action <strong>and</strong> reaction takes place. In developing this figure, theresearch team was keen to illustrate that practical responses need to be considered through a sociohistoricallens in which action is always framed by social, cultural <strong>and</strong> personal conditions (Inayatullah2007; Diamond 2005). It was also important for these conditions to be understood as mutuallyreinforcing. For such a context to emerge, this paper argues that we need to underst<strong>and</strong> the role that thekey determinants <strong>of</strong> complexity <strong>of</strong> social process, technology, leaders <strong>and</strong> institutions have to play insocial learning. Such determinants both drive the adaptive capacity that underpins <strong>sustainable</strong><strong>development</strong> while also determining the barriers that do limit context.These four key determinants are a subset <strong>of</strong> those identified by the report. In all there are nine keydeterminants affecting social learning <strong>and</strong> the degree <strong>of</strong> resilience present in any context. Thesedeterminants were complexity <strong>and</strong> leadership, institutions <strong>and</strong> values, technology <strong>and</strong> imagination,information <strong>and</strong> knowledge, <strong>and</strong> scale. Resilience relates to the ability <strong>of</strong> a system to cope with change(Folke 2002). It implies social learning <strong>and</strong> the ability to develop appropriate practical responses to anemergent condition. A resilient system is a learning system. Adaptive capacity is therefore a measure <strong>of</strong>the resilience within a system (van Drunen 2011). The key determinants can be understood as conditionsthat shape <strong>and</strong> direct the capacity <strong>of</strong> a social system to effectively negotiate periods <strong>of</strong> stress <strong>and</strong>uncertainty.242

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