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trends and future of sustainable development - TransEco

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The importance <strong>of</strong> data networks will grow. The rescue services should keep up with the<strong>development</strong> by <strong>of</strong>fering services on the net. Through interdependences the vulnerability <strong>of</strong> the societywill increase in abnormal conditions.The desire for safety <strong>and</strong> neo-helplessness are emphasized. Fear against new threats willrise <strong>and</strong> consequently, leads to more safety conscious behaviour. On the other h<strong>and</strong>, neo-helplessnesswill increase which also reflects on safety issues.The dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong> energy will increase <strong>and</strong> the price will rise. The disputes about energyresources <strong>and</strong> transportation routes might lead to conflicts between states. The rescue services have toparticipate in saving energy.The ecological viewpoint <strong>and</strong> the importance <strong>of</strong> the environment will increase. Theviewpoints <strong>of</strong> environmental protection must be considered even more in the training <strong>of</strong> the rescueservices <strong>and</strong> in rescue activities.The need <strong>of</strong> skills <strong>and</strong> innovativeness will strengthen. Also within the rescue services socialskills, the abilities to network successfully <strong>and</strong> lifelong learning will be emphasized.The competition <strong>of</strong> skilled persons will grow as well as the foreign work force. Therescue services will more <strong>and</strong> more have to compete for competent labour force. As immigrationincreases the rescue services also have to recruit persons with different ethnic backgrounds.The overload <strong>of</strong> the public sector <strong>and</strong> the pressure for efficiency will grow. As a part <strong>of</strong>the public sector the rescue services function at the same time in the counter pressure <strong>of</strong> the increasingneed <strong>of</strong> services <strong>and</strong> modest resources.Scenarios in the Strategic Planning Process <strong>of</strong> the Rescue ServicesThe scenario models connected to the strategic work <strong>of</strong> the rescue services are presented in figure 3.Good international cooperationScenario AWorld <strong>of</strong> SustainableDevelopmentScenario BMarket Driven WorldPublicPrivateservicesScenario CScenario DiWorld <strong>of</strong> Closed StatesCapital World in<strong>and</strong> AlliancesCrisisPoor international cooperationFigure 3. The scenario models connected to the strategic work <strong>of</strong> the rescue services 2025+405

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