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trends and future of sustainable development - TransEco

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High InnovationTOP Focus onlyBOP FocusLow InnovationDeveloped companiesNew entrants’ axisFigure 3.Scenario evaluation <strong>of</strong> innovations relative to the BOP market.From figure 3, the two defining parameters are level <strong>of</strong> innovation <strong>and</strong> market focus <strong>of</strong> companies(TOP/BOP). Firstly, to what degree are innovations taking place? Secondly, which market group arethese innovations targeted at?The position <strong>of</strong> a company at a particular point in time on this plot, will invariably indicate the likelyimpact the prevailing market dynamics can have on it <strong>and</strong> its market position. Furthermore, theinteraction between the innovation <strong>and</strong> the segment focused on will equally determine the status <strong>of</strong> theBOP in the <strong>future</strong> pyramidal structure.Scenario 1 – Market Gap: In this scenario, companies are creatively innovating <strong>and</strong> their focus isprimarily on the TOP market. The impact on the developed companies is a translation <strong>of</strong> innovations tobusiness growth where added value is brought to existing customers at the TOP. This will result in awider void between the <strong>of</strong>ferings available for the TOP <strong>and</strong> the BOP such that crossing the gap willrequire considerable effort.Scenario 2 – Status quo: This is the situation that occurs when there is relatively no significantinnovations <strong>and</strong> the companies maintain their TOP focus. This refers to a situation where things remainthe way they are without any noteworthy change in the structure <strong>of</strong> the pyramid or its effect on thedeveloped companies.Scenario 3 – Fragmented Market: This is a scenario whereby developed companies, BOPentrepreneurs <strong>and</strong> new entrants provide products to the BOP market without any major creativeinnovation <strong>of</strong> a disruptive capacity. This scenario represents a point when developed companies retaintheir main TOP market focus can also extend their <strong>of</strong>ferings to the BOP but without any major creativechange or necessary BOP related innovation. Since this scenario represents an axis with low level <strong>of</strong>innovation, BOP companies will be characterized by mediocre adaptations <strong>of</strong> TOP products for the BOPmarket as a means <strong>of</strong> competing with the trickling down products <strong>of</strong> the developed companies into theirBOP domain. Thereby resulting in a TOP market dominated by the developed companies <strong>and</strong> a nondisruptive BOP market with BOP-focused small companies.333

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