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trends and future of sustainable development - TransEco

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very agile reacting to changes. This makes the need for long-term strategic thinking <strong>and</strong> planning evenmore evident. Scanning for weak signals <strong>and</strong> thinking about wild cards is an important part <strong>of</strong> this.Based on our experience, we argue that the potential <strong>of</strong> weak signals <strong>and</strong> wild cards approach lies inthe practical application, not in scientific strict methodology <strong>and</strong> rigid interpretations <strong>of</strong> weak signals<strong>and</strong> wild cards.ReferencesBlewitt, John (2008) Underst<strong>and</strong>ing Sustainable Development”. Earthscan, London.C<strong>of</strong>fman, Bryan S. (1997) Weak Signal Research. Part I: Introduction.http://www.mgtaylor.com/mgtaylor/jotm/winter97/wsrintro.htm retrieved 15.5.2011.Dominguez, Damian (2008) H<strong>and</strong>ling <strong>future</strong> uncertainty – Strategic planning for the infrastructuresector. Doctoral Dissertation, ETH Zurich, No. 17867.van der Heijde, Kees (1997) Scenarios, Strategy <strong>and</strong> the Strategy Process. Presearch, Vol. 1(1), 1-32.Heino, Ossi A. – Takala, Annina J. – Katko, Tapio S. (2011) Challenges to Finnish water <strong>and</strong> wastewaterservices in the next 20–30 years, E-Water, 01/2011.http://www.ewaonline.de/portale/ewa/ewa.nsf/home?readform&objectid=60CAFA191D51F6CDC1257876002699C6 retrieved 15.5.2011.Hiltunen, Elina (2006) Was it a Wild Card or Just Our Blindness to Gradual Change? Journal <strong>of</strong> FutureStudies, Vol. 11(2), 61-74.Hiltunen, Elina (2008a) The <strong>future</strong> sign <strong>and</strong> its three dimensions. Futures, Vol. 40(3), 247–260.Hiltunen, Elina (2008b) Good Sources <strong>of</strong> Weak Signals: A Global Study <strong>of</strong> Where Futurists Look ForWeak Signals. Journal <strong>of</strong> Futures Studies, Vol. 12(4), 21-44.Hiltunen, Elina (2010) Weak Signals in Organizational Futures Learning. Doctoral Dissertation,Helsinki School <strong>of</strong> Economics A-365.Linturi, Hannu (2003) Heikkoja signaaleja metsästämässä,http://www.futunet.org/en/materiaalit/metodit/2_metodit/3_signalix?C:D=347697&selres=347697 retrieved 16.5.2011.Mendonça, S<strong>and</strong>ro – Pina e Cunha, Miguel – Kaivo-oja, Jari – Ruff, Frank (2004) Wild cards, weaksignals <strong>and</strong> organisational improvisation. Futures, Vol. 36(2), 201-218Moijanen, Maisa (2003) Heikot signaalit tulevaisuudentutkimuksessa. Futura 4/03, 43-60.Nafday, Avinash M. (2009) Strategies for Managing the Consequences <strong>of</strong> Black Swan Events. Leadership<strong>and</strong> Management in Engineering, Vol. 9(4), 191-197.Newman, Lenore (2005) Uncertainty, innovation, <strong>and</strong> dynamic <strong>sustainable</strong> <strong>development</strong>.Sustainability: Science, Practice, & Policy, Vol. 1(2), 25–31.Petersen, John L. – Steinmüller, Karlheinz (2009) Wild Cards. In Glenn, Jerome C. – Gordon, TheodoreJ. (Eds.) Futures Research Methodology Version 3.0. Electronic resource. The Millennium Project,Washington DC.Pietilä, Pekka E. – Katko, Tapio S. – Seppälä, Osmo T. (2010) Uniqueness <strong>of</strong> water services, E-Water,02/2010.http://www.ewaonline.de/portale/ewa/ewa.nsf/home?readform&objectid=7BBE56D63E38CEBDC1257727002F494A retrieved 15.4.2011.Rossel, Pierre (2009) Weak signals as a flexible framing space for enhanced management <strong>and</strong> decisionmaking.Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, Vol. 21(3), 307-320.Royte, Elizabeth (2008) Bottlemania. Big Business, Local Springs, <strong>and</strong> the Battle over America’sDrinking Water. Bloomsbury, New York.Schultz, Wendy L. (2002) Environmental Scanning: A Holistic Approach to Identifying <strong>and</strong> AssessingWeak Signals <strong>of</strong> Change. http://www.infinite<strong>future</strong>s.com/essays/prez/holescan/sld001.htmretrieved 16.5.2011.Seeck, Hannele – Lavento, Heidi – Hakala, Salli (2008). Kriisijohtaminen ja viestintä. Tapaus Nokianvesikriisi. (in Finnish, incl. English summary). Acta Publication N. 206. The Association <strong>of</strong> Finnish421

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