trends and future of sustainable development - TransEco

translation of results needs deep expertise and background understanding of the sector you areanalysing. Thus the DECOIN toolkit is still very much a tool of environmental experts. The results giveinteresting new insights to reasons behind unsustainable trends. These findings could be obtained alsoby other methods or deep expertise, but the toolkit eases and speeds the analysis greatly and thus itredeems expectations.As the integration of the models into DECOIN toolkit is continuing and there is need to useundoubtedly much more time and resources for the finalisation of the DECOIN toolkit that wasestimated in DECOIN work plan. Based on the experiences of this case study, The DECOIN toolkitshould be more clearly focused to produce information on some quite specific unsustainablephenomena. For example in the case of Finnish forest sector, the central issues are the loss ofbiodiversity and the vitality and regeneration capacities of the forests. Consequently, much moreframing of the DECOIN toolkit is required, that would also reduce the resources needed to compilerelevant databases on the next case studies.5. ConclusionsThe DECOIN toolkit can quite easily produce information about unsustainable trends. These findingscan be produced also by other methods or deep expertise, but the toolkit eases the analysis greatly.According to results Finnish forest sector for every tonne of roundwood removal, less energy (except forthe peak in 2001) is being used, hence referring to the conclusion that the process is becoming efficient(less inputs needed for more outputs produced) over time. Over time, more energy is going into eachhour of work in forestry ultimately, leading to the conclusion that more and more roundwood is beingremoved per hectare and per hour of work over time. The energy used reflects the level of technicalcapital (machinery) employed in the activity. Moreover, each tonne of roundwood is worth increasinglymore over the years, probably due to increasing prices in markets of the type of wood extracted inFinland.In Finnish forest industry increases in production volumes is the major driving force behindincreases of CO2 emissions growth in both pulp and paper as well as in wood industry. All other drivingfactors have decreasing effects: use of labour, working hours, CO2 intensity of energy consumption etc.In wood industry the CO2 emissions have decreased, but not in pulp and paper industry. In forestindustry as a whole, CO2 emissions have decreased only slightly.93