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The Nordic Countries and the European Security and Defence Policy

The Nordic Countries and the European Security and Defence Policy

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136 NATIONAL DEFENCE AND EUROPEAN COOPERATIONscenarios. This represents a breakthrough in limiting <strong>the</strong> targets of <strong>the</strong> newHeadline Goal 2010 to planning <strong>and</strong> concepts. For instance, <strong>the</strong> battle group isseen as a key ‘mobilizing’ tool. A battle group will consist of highly trained,battalion-size formations (1500 soldiers each) 57 —including all combat <strong>and</strong> servicesupport as well as deployability <strong>and</strong> sustainability assets. <strong>The</strong>se should beavailable within 15 days’ notice <strong>and</strong> be sustainable for at least 30 days (extendableto 120 days by rotation). <strong>The</strong>y should be flexible enough to promptlyundertake operations in distant crisis areas, under—but not exclusively—a UNm<strong>and</strong>ate <strong>and</strong> to conduct combat missions in an extremely hostile environment(mountains, desert, jungle, <strong>and</strong> so on). As such, <strong>the</strong>y should prepare <strong>the</strong> groundfor larger, more traditional peacekeeping forces, ideally provided by <strong>the</strong> UN ormember states.<strong>The</strong> battle group is not a completely flawless concept: in particular, it leavesopen <strong>the</strong> question of follow-on forces. <strong>The</strong> battle group is sustainable for120 days, while <strong>the</strong> UN force-generation process (<strong>the</strong> most likely source offollow-on forces) takes six months, creating an obvious gap. However, <strong>the</strong>Headline Goal h<strong>and</strong>les this by linking its specific references to <strong>the</strong> battle groupconcept (also more moderately described as ‘minimum force packages’) with amore comprehensive concept of intervention whereby <strong>the</strong> EU has <strong>the</strong> ability ‘todeploy force packages at high readiness as a response to a crisis ei<strong>the</strong>r as ast<strong>and</strong>-alone force or as part of a larger operation enabling follow-on phases’. 58This provides a critical point of departure for fur<strong>the</strong>r work to aid force planningfor EU crisis management, but <strong>the</strong> text of <strong>the</strong> Headline Goal 2010 leaves <strong>the</strong>details incomplete. Ano<strong>the</strong>r major addition is <strong>the</strong> statement that ‘Procedures toassess <strong>and</strong> certify <strong>the</strong>se high readiness joint packages will need to bedeveloped’. 59 Such procedures will potentially add a qualitative <strong>and</strong> quantitativebreakthrough in allowing forces assigned to <strong>the</strong> EU not only to be committed<strong>and</strong> counted in catalogues but also to be verified <strong>and</strong> vetted in order to substantiallyimprove defence planning processes.<strong>The</strong> next crucial step in underst<strong>and</strong>ing whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> battle group concept willhelp to frame discussions on <strong>European</strong> defence capabilities targets (like <strong>the</strong>earlier Rapid Response Force), or will actually lead to committed <strong>and</strong> verifiableforce packages, is <strong>the</strong> formation by <strong>the</strong> member states of <strong>the</strong> force packages that<strong>the</strong>y committed at <strong>the</strong> November 2004 Capability Commitments Conference.This process is ongoing: at a battle group coordination meeting on 11 May 2005<strong>the</strong> member states reaffirmed <strong>the</strong>ir commitment to ensuring that <strong>the</strong> first twoyears of full operational capability (i.e., from 2007) would be achieved, but <strong>the</strong>ydid concede that a shortfall existed for one of <strong>the</strong> two slots in <strong>the</strong> second half of57 An official of <strong>the</strong> British Ministry of <strong>Defence</strong>, in an interview with <strong>the</strong> author, described a battlegroup as <strong>the</strong> smallest self-sufficient military operational formation that can be deployed <strong>and</strong> sustained in a<strong>the</strong>atre of operations. <strong>The</strong> concept draws on st<strong>and</strong>ard NATO doctrine: e.g., <strong>the</strong> NATO Response Force‘l<strong>and</strong> component’ is a l<strong>and</strong> brigade configured tactically with 5 battle groups.58 Council of <strong>the</strong> <strong>European</strong> Union (note 24).59 Council of <strong>the</strong> <strong>European</strong> Union (note 24).

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