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In terms of the risk <strong>as</strong>sessment for each field, Table 6 shows that even a 10% reduction<br />

in fertiliser use can have a significant impact on each field. Under the current farming<br />

practice of using the maximum recommended fertiliser rates, 191 fields are cl<strong>as</strong>sified<br />

<strong>as</strong> very high risk (Figure 1) but this number is reduced to 16 with a 10% reduction in<br />

fertiliser use (Figure 2) and to 13 fields with a 20% reduction in fertiliser. This also h<strong>as</strong><br />

a knock-on effect on fields cl<strong>as</strong>sified <strong>as</strong> high or medium risk.<br />

Table 6:<br />

Impact of fertiliser reduction to the extent of risk (number of field<br />

plots)<br />

Very low<br />

risk<br />

Low risk<br />

Medium<br />

risk<br />

High risk<br />

Land use 2002 0 922 414 569 191<br />

10% reduction in<br />

fertiliser use<br />

0 922 642 516 16<br />

20% reduction in<br />

fertiliser use<br />

0 922 646 515 13<br />

Very high<br />

risk<br />

However, farmers believe this scenario would affect the grain outputs from arable<br />

production and the number of livestock units per hectare and therefore farm income.<br />

On the other hand, farm expenditure on chemical fertilisers and grain seed would be<br />

less. For example, at 2002 figures, fertiliser costs were £79–£105 ha depending on<br />

the chemical mix required for the range of crops grown.<br />

265

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