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Although the TMDL programme originated in the 1970s, it w<strong>as</strong> largely overlooked<br />
until the early 1990s, when the EPA w<strong>as</strong> forced to develop guidance in response<br />
to incre<strong>as</strong>ing litigation concerning the status of many water bodies. Under new<br />
regulations issued by the EPA in 1992, all states and tribes were t<strong>as</strong>ked with<br />
<strong>as</strong>sessing the condition of their water bodies every two years, establishing priorities<br />
for pollutant load reductions and implementing improvements. As a result, over<br />
21,000 water bodies have since been identified <strong>as</strong> being impaired, which will<br />
necessitate the development of more than 40,000 TMDLs over the next 10–15 years.<br />
To address this problem, the EPA published proposed changes to the TMDL rules in<br />
1999, which were intended to strengthen the programme’s ability to achieve clean<br />
water goals, by offering clearer guidance, new tools and improved stakeholder<br />
engagement via knowledge transfer. However, while the proposed rules were seen<br />
by some <strong>as</strong> a welcome step towards a more holistic approach to managing water<br />
quality, it w<strong>as</strong> also clear that they would significantly alter the politics, economics and<br />
implementation of water quality regulation. As a result, the proposed rules attracted<br />
significant criticism, particularly in terms of the timetable for implementation and<br />
the adequacy of the science underpinning the control of diffuse pollution. The new<br />
rules were finally approved in 2000, but Congress delayed their implementation,<br />
and the EPA h<strong>as</strong> since withdrawn them, stating that their implementation would be<br />
untenable. For now, the 1992 regulations remain in effect.<br />
Under the 1992 regulations, all states and tribes must <strong>as</strong>sess the condition of their<br />
water bodies in relation to numeric and narrative water quality standards set for<br />
designated uses (e.g. aquatic life protection, drinking water supply, recreation).<br />
It is recognised that such standards may not always be met, due to background<br />
variability and me<strong>as</strong>urement errors, and <strong>as</strong> a result a 10% violation rate is allowed<br />
(up to 10 % of samples collected may exceed set standards). However, in instances<br />
where the violation rate exceeds 10%, the affected water body must be cl<strong>as</strong>sed <strong>as</strong><br />
impaired, and a TMDL developed for the pollutant causing the impairment (EPA,<br />
1999). The first step in the process of TMDL development is the identification of the<br />
key factors and background information that describe the nature of the impairment<br />
and the context for the TMDL. The second step is the identification of numeric or<br />
me<strong>as</strong>urable indicators and target values that can be used to evaluate attainment of<br />
water quality standards in the impaired water body. Often the TMDL target will be<br />
the numeric standard for the pollutant of concern, but in some c<strong>as</strong>es TMDLs must<br />
be developed for parameters that do not have numeric standards. In these situations<br />
impairment is determined using narrative standards or identifiable impairment of<br />
designated uses (e.g. no fish), which are then interpreted to develop quantifiable<br />
target values to me<strong>as</strong>ure attainment or maintenance of the desired level of water<br />
quality.<br />
The third step in the process is a source <strong>as</strong>sessment, in which the sources of<br />
pollutant loading to the impaired water body are identified and characterised by type,<br />
magnitude and location. In the fourth step of the process, a linkage must be defined<br />
between the selected indicator(s) or target(s) and the identified sources. This linkage<br />
establishes the cause and effect relationship between the pollutant of concern<br />
and the pollutant sources, and enables the total loading capacity to be estimated.<br />
Acceptable pollutant loadings that will not exceed the total loading capacity and will<br />
lead to attainment of the desired level of water quality are then calculated in step<br />
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