2120 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

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APPENDIX 1: MEMBER STATE REPORTS35%30%25%Percentage difference from EU average20%15%10%5%0%-5%1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003Figure A1.55: Difference between Italian and EU egg prices 1991-2003Source: DG Agri.A1.9.4.3. Demand and supply elasticitiesNo Italian research on the elasticities of eggs was made available. However, eggs are considered astaple product (whether in shell or in processed products such as pasta), and as such are not veryresponsive to price changes. A feature of the Italian market is that consumers tend to fall back ondirect sales from backyard flocks when prices do increase.A1.9.5. The impact of Directive 1999/74/ECA1.9.5.1. Implementation to dateThere has been no investment in enriched cages to date in Italy and the Directive was only ratifiedinto national legislation in July 2003. Many Italian producers have not carried out investments toallow the increase in bird space allowance to 550 cm 2 from January 2003, preferring simply to reducethe number of birds in a cage from five to four. The National Union of Aviculture therefore expectsto see a 20% decrease in production by 2005 as a direct result of this interim measure. At the sametime, fixed costs will be spread over a reduced number of birds leading to expected increases incosts of around 13% on a per bird basis. The decrease in production will, according to the NationalUnion of Aviculture, result in a significant net import requirement from the current position of selfsufficiency.230
APPENDIX 1: MEMBER STATE REPORTSA1.9.5.2. Expected implementationThe general response to the Directive in the Italian industry is to maintain current productionsystems for as long as possible in the hope of obtaining an extension to the investment deadline. Ittherefore seems likely that if Italian producers do make the necessary investments, these will be aslate as possible. It also seems possible that many will simply not change their systems and willchoose to cease production instead.231
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