2120 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

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APPENDIX 2: THIRD COUNTRIES100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%1990 1995 2000Figure A2.6: Trend in distribution of table eggs among market outlets 1990-2000Source - American egg boardretail processing foodservice exportHistorically, egg production in the U.S. has responded to a variety of influences. Among others,changes in consumer tastes and preferences have had an especially profound influence. Looking backover the past several decades, at least four major swings in consumer demand can be identified.During World War II, when foodstuffs were in tight supply and food rationing was in effect, eggproduction expanded sharply. Eggs offered a convenient, relatively low-cost source of protein. Thiswas followed by changes in consumer diets in the 1950s and 1960s, including the move to lighter,more convenient breakfasts. This caused per capita consumption to stabilise at around 320 eggs peryear. This was followed in the 1970s and 1980s by growing concerns over the link between diet andhealth and the role of cholesterol, leading to a steady decline in per capita egg consumption. Morerecently, Americans have relaxed their restrictive attitude toward the consumption of fats andcholesterol, prompted in part by the popularity of low carbohydrate diets. As a result of this changein attitude, the per capita consumption of eggs (shell and processed) has risen about 7% since the late1990s (see Figure A2.7).368
APPENDIX 2: THIRD COUNTRIES35030025020015010050020032002200120001999199819971996199519941993199219911990198919881987198619851984198319821981198019791978197719761975197419731972197119701969196819671966196519641963196219611960No. eggs/personFigure A2.7: Trend in U.S. per capita consumption of shell eggs and egg products 1960-2003Source: USDASince 1989, the production of eggs has steadily risen in the U.S. reaching 74.4 billion eggs in 2003.Between 1990 and 2003, production rose 26% or by an average annual rate of 1.8% (see FigureA2.8).Egg production was only fractionally higher in 2003. The slower rate of growth in 2003 was due to acombination of producers scaling back their stocking densities in compliance with new animal welfareguidelines (discussed later in the <strong>report</strong>), an outbreak of Exotic Newcastle Disease in California, andat least two years of low returns. Production in 2004 is forecast by USDA to be up around 1.3%,partly in response to the record high egg prices in late 2003 and early 2004.369
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