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Annual Meeting Proceedings Part 1 - American Society of Clinical ...

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290s Genitourinary Cancer<br />

4552 Poster Discussion Session (Board #6), Mon, 8:00 AM-12:00 PM and<br />

11:30 AM-12:30 PM<br />

Development <strong>of</strong> a nomogram model using a very large sample <strong>of</strong> patients<br />

(pts) to predict the risk <strong>of</strong> 99mTc-bone scan (BS) positivity in pts receiving<br />

androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) for prostate cancer (PCa). Presenting<br />

Author: Ge<strong>of</strong>frey Gotto, Southern Alberta Institute <strong>of</strong> Urology, Calgary, AB,<br />

Canada<br />

Background: Decisions to start imaging pts with PCa can be difficult due to<br />

the heterogeneous nature <strong>of</strong> the disease. Nomograms can combine information<br />

on multiple disease factors to improve predictive accuracy and are not<br />

influenced by subjective confounders that may affect clinical judgment.<br />

However, currently available nomograms for PCa predict current or future<br />

risk <strong>of</strong> positive BS in ADT-naive pts only. We have developed a new<br />

nomogram to predict current BS positivity in ADT-treated pts with PCa<br />

using a very large pt sample. Methods: All BS records from 1650<br />

ADT-treated pts who received treatment at the Memorial Sloan-Kettering<br />

Cancer Center from 2000 to 2011 were analyzed. Pts were followed up<br />

from the start <strong>of</strong> ADT until the first positive BS or last hospital visit.<br />

Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to model the variables<br />

that could be used for predicting likelihood <strong>of</strong> metastases and the variables<br />

were incorporated into the nomogram model. The current probability <strong>of</strong><br />

bone metastasis was generated by the nomogram using the pt variables at<br />

each BS and the predictive accuracy was quantified by calculating the<br />

concordance index (C-index). Results: In total, 3949 BS records were<br />

analyzed and 950 pts had a positive scan. There was an average <strong>of</strong> 1.1 prior<br />

negative scans before a positive result was recorded. Median prostatespecific<br />

antigen (PSA) was 2.5 ng/mL and mean PSA doubling time<br />

(PSADT) was 7.8 months. At the same time <strong>of</strong> the positive scans, 49.4% <strong>of</strong><br />

pts had a PSA �10 ng/mL. Based on clinical relevance and data<br />

availability, 13 variables were included in the nomogram model: number <strong>of</strong><br />

previous negative BSs, PSA, PSADT, prostatectomy, radiotherapy, brachytherapy,<br />

chemotherapy, immunotherapy, estrogen therapy, cryotherapy,<br />

clinical trial enrollment, and most recent primary and secondary Gleason<br />

grades. C-index for the nomogram was 0.76. Conclusions: This is the first<br />

nomogram to predict current BS positivity in pts with PCa following ADT.<br />

The nomogram was devised from a very large data set from a single center<br />

and provides high predictive accuracy.<br />

4554 Poster Discussion Session (Board #8), Mon, 8:00 AM-12:00 PM and<br />

11:30 AM-12:30 PM<br />

Abiraterone in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer<br />

progressing after docetaxel and MDV3100. Presenting Author: Ecaterina<br />

Ileana, Institut Gustave Roussy, Villejuif, France<br />

Background: Chemotherapy with docetaxel is the standard first-line treatment<br />

in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer<br />

(mCRPC). In patients progressing after docetaxel, both abiraterone and<br />

MDV3100 have yielded improved survival for patients with mCRPC. The<br />

efficacy <strong>of</strong> abiraterone in patients pre-treated with MDV 3100 is unknown.<br />

Methods: We investigated abiraterone-prednisone in 24 patients with<br />

cancer progression after docetaxel followed by MDV3100. All patients<br />

received abiraterone 1000 mg/day plus prednisone 10mg/day. Prostatespecific<br />

antigen (PSA) response, symptom response, and time to progression<br />

were assessed. Results: Patient characteristics were as follows: median<br />

age: 74 years (53-84), median PSA: 108 ng/mL (2-2541), metastatic<br />

sites: bone: all 24 patients, liver/lung: 6 patients (25%), and lymph nodes :<br />

9 patients (38%). Five patients (21%) had a PSA decrease on abirateroneprednisone.<br />

Three patients (13%) achieved a PSA response, defined as a<br />

decrease <strong>of</strong> �50% in PSA, confirmed after� 4 weeks. The duration <strong>of</strong> PSA<br />

response was 2, 3 and 4.5 months. Six patients (29%) had a symptomatic<br />

response on the pain score and analgesic consumption was decreased.<br />

Treatment was well tolerated. Abiraterone-prednisone was discontinued in<br />

one patient due to edema and hypokaliemia. Conclusions: This study shows<br />

preliminary evidence that abiraterone-prednisone yields activity in patients<br />

with mCRPC pretreated with docetaxel and MDV3100.<br />

4553 Poster Discussion Session (Board #7), Mon, 8:00 AM-12:00 PM and<br />

11:30 AM-12:30 PM<br />

Durable radiologic and clinical disease stability beyond PSA progression in<br />

patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC)<br />

treated with abiraterone acetate (AA). Presenting Author: Diletta Bianchini,<br />

The Royal Marsden Hospital and The Institute <strong>of</strong> Cancer Research, Sutton,<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Background: AA, a potent oral CYP17A1 inhibitor is approved for treatment<br />

<strong>of</strong> mCRPC with a survival advantage <strong>of</strong> 4.9 months. In clinical practice,<br />

response evaluation remains challenging for pts with mCRPC. CTC conversion<br />

from CTC � 5toCTC�5with treatment predicts for improved overall<br />

survival in mCRPC. We hypothesized that pts continue to have durable<br />

disease stability beyond PSA progression on AA. Methods: Prostate Specific<br />

Antigen (PSA) responses, radiological responses and CTC conversion rates<br />

were retrospectively analysed in pts treated on AA at our institution. CTCs,<br />

PSA and imaging were obtained at predefined time points during these<br />

studies. Radiological and PSA progression were defined by standard<br />

Prostate Cancer Working Group Criteria II. <strong>Clinical</strong> progression consisted <strong>of</strong><br />

worsening disease related pain, skeletal events or declining performance<br />

status.Pearson’s chi-squared test and the Kaplan-Meier method were used<br />

for this analysis. Results: 141 patients [ECOG Performance Status 0-2;<br />

Median Age: 69.7 (range 44.7-87.1); 85 post-docetaxel, 56 predocetaxel]<br />

received AA. The median duration <strong>of</strong> clinical and radiological<br />

stable disease (SD) was 16.8 months (n�55) and 5.6 months (n�75) in<br />

patients with a baseline CTCs count <strong>of</strong> � 5 cells/7.5mls and � 5 cells/7.5<br />

mls respectively. In the 105 patients with documented PSA progression on<br />

AA there was a median 5.7-month delay in detecting radiological and/or<br />

clinical progression (95% CI: 4.2, 8.4; range 0.3, 35.6 months). Radiological<br />

and clinical SD <strong>of</strong> � 1 year, � 2 years and � 3 years on AA was observed<br />

in 43/141 (30.5%), 21/141 (14.9%) and 12/141 (8.5%) respectively.<br />

Conclusions: Radiological and clinical disease stabilization beyond PSA<br />

progression is maintained in a high proportion <strong>of</strong> mCRPC patients treated<br />

with AA. Future studies should evaluate whether continued AA treatment<br />

beyond PSA and radiological progression can impact outcome.<br />

4555 Poster Discussion Session (Board #9), Mon, 8:00 AM-12:00 PM and<br />

11:30 AM-12:30 PM<br />

Association <strong>of</strong> metabolic syndrome with poorer prostate cancer and overall<br />

survival in men receiving androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) for biochemical<br />

relapse. Presenting Author: Sarah Maria Rudman, Division <strong>of</strong> Cancer<br />

Studies, King’s College London, Guy’s Hospital, London, United Kingdom<br />

Background: The metabolic syndrome (MS) has been implicated in the<br />

development <strong>of</strong> prostate cancer (PC). In our previous study <strong>of</strong> a Veterans’<br />

Administration (VA) cohort, MS was associated with a shorter duration <strong>of</strong><br />

PC control with ADT. We report the impact <strong>of</strong> MS on overall survival (OS)<br />

and PC specific death for a cohort <strong>of</strong> patients with biochemical relapse.<br />

Methods: 273 pts (64 VA pts and 209 pts from Health Pr<strong>of</strong>essionals Follow<br />

up Study) treated with ADT for biochemical recurrence post radiation or<br />

prostatectomy for PC were included. The modified Adult Treatment Panel<br />

III criteria for MS was used to identify patients with MS status prior to the<br />

commencement <strong>of</strong> ADT. Cox models tested for association <strong>of</strong> MS status<br />

with OS or time to PC specific death. With 42% overall death rate, 31% MS<br />

prevalence, there was 90% power to detect HR� 1.81 (type I error rate<br />

�0.05). Results: 31% pts (84/273) had MS and 15% pts (40/273) died <strong>of</strong><br />

PC. Median follow-up was 9.5 years. The median OS with and without MS<br />

was 7.4 and 11.2 years respectively. Patients with hypertension, being<br />

African <strong>American</strong>, having diabetes and age were associated with increased<br />

risk <strong>of</strong> death from any causes, while hypertension and being African<br />

<strong>American</strong> were also associated with increased risk <strong>of</strong> PC specific death. A<br />

multivariate Cox regression model adjusted for age at diagnosis, race,<br />

definitive local therapy (RT vs. RP), PSA at diagnosis and Gleason score<br />

revealed MS was associated with a significantly increased risk <strong>of</strong> death from<br />

any cause and PC specific death (Table). Conclusions: In men receiving ADT<br />

for biochemically recurrent androgen dependent PC, the presence <strong>of</strong> MS at<br />

the commencement <strong>of</strong> ADT is associated with an increased risk <strong>of</strong> death<br />

from any cause as well as prostate cancer specifically.<br />

Overall (N�273)<br />

Comparison Median (years) Event Adjusted HR<br />

Endpoint (MS status) OS, (95%CI) (patient) (95% CI) P value*<br />

OS No (ref) 11.17 74 (189) 1<br />

(10-13.9)<br />

Yes 7.42 (5.33-12.1) 40 (84) 2.12<br />

(1.42, 3.16) �0.001<br />

PCa death No (ref) 25 (189) 1<br />

Yes 15 (84) 2.03 0.036<br />

(1.05, 3.94)<br />

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