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Air quality expert group - Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in ... - Defra

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<strong>PM2.5</strong> <strong>in</strong> the UK<br />

Emissions (ktonnes)<br />

Emissions (ktonnes)<br />

3000<br />

2500<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

4000<br />

3500<br />

3000<br />

2500<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

94<br />

500<br />

500<br />

44. Due to abatement of emissions from stationary and mobile combustion sources,<br />

largely brought about by legislation and EU directives, UK emissions of both<br />

NOx and SO2 are predicted to cont<strong>in</strong>ue fall<strong>in</strong>g, by around 35-40% by 2020<br />

relative to 2009 levels. Much smaller reductions are predicted <strong>in</strong> UK emissions of<br />

NMVOCs (8%) and NH3 (< 1%). Aga<strong>in</strong>, the projections for NOx use the exist<strong>in</strong>g<br />

vehicle emission factors and, when the new emission factors are used, a smaller<br />

reduction <strong>in</strong> NOx emissions for 2020 is expected.<br />

Total UK NMVOC Emissions (1990-2009, 2015 and 2020)<br />

0<br />

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020<br />

Total UK SO2 Emissions (1990-2009, 2015 and 2020)<br />

0<br />

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020<br />

Other<br />

1 A 4 Combustion <strong>in</strong> the Domestic / Commercial/<br />

Public Sectors<br />

1 A 3 Transport<br />

2 Industrial Processes<br />

1 B 2 Emissions from Oil & Natural Gas Extraction<br />

3 Solvent and Other Product Use<br />

Other<br />

1 A 3 Transport<br />

2 Industrial Processes<br />

1 A 4 Combustion <strong>in</strong> the Domestic /<br />

Commercial/ Public sectors<br />

1 A 2 Combustion <strong>in</strong> Industry<br />

1 A 1 Combustion <strong>in</strong> the Energy Industries<br />

Emissions (ktonnes)<br />

Emissions (Ktonnes)<br />

3000<br />

2500<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

500<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

Total UK NOx Emissions (1990-2009, 2015 and 2020)<br />

0<br />

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020<br />

Total UK NH 3 Emissions (1990-2009, 2015 and 2020)<br />

0<br />

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020<br />

Other<br />

1 A 4 Combustion <strong>in</strong> the Domestic / Commercial/<br />

Public Sectors<br />

1 A 2 Combustion <strong>in</strong> Industry<br />

1 A 1 Combustion <strong>in</strong> the Energy Industries<br />

1 A 3 Transport<br />

Other<br />

1 A 3 Transport<br />

Figure 4.6: UK emissions of <strong>PM2.5</strong> precursor gases: NOx, SO2, NMVOCs and NH3<br />

(1990-2020).<br />

45. Road transport is a relatively small source of NH3 emissions compared to<br />

agriculture, but its contribution <strong>in</strong> urban areas, where it could make a larger<br />

contribution to local ammonium nitrate formation, will be higher if traffic<br />

emissions are allowed to rise. Traffic emissions of NH3 are predom<strong>in</strong>ately from<br />

petrol cars and, accord<strong>in</strong>g to the emissions <strong>in</strong>ventory, are on the decl<strong>in</strong>e due<br />

to the fleet penetration of modern cars with improved catalytic converters and<br />

lower emission factors. However, the situation could change <strong>in</strong> the future if<br />

Euro V and VI diesel vehicles with Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) systems for<br />

controll<strong>in</strong>g NOx emissions fail and lead to NH3 slippage from the catalyst system.<br />

SCR works by <strong>in</strong>tentionally add<strong>in</strong>g NH3 to the exhaust stream through the<br />

<strong>in</strong>jection of urea. There is no evidence yet of NH3 slippage from modern diesel<br />

vehicles, and the control systems are designed to prevent this from happen<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

but real world emissions performance of <strong>in</strong>-service diesel vehicles with SCR<br />

will need to be monitored to ensure that this is the case and that there are no<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> NH3 emissions from road transport <strong>in</strong> urban areas as these vehicles<br />

penetrate the fleet.<br />

6 Waste<br />

4 Agriculture

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