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Air quality expert group - Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in ... - Defra

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<strong>PM2.5</strong> <strong>in</strong> the UK<br />

176<br />

4. The delivery of air <strong>quality</strong> policy objectives relies upon the ability to measure<br />

pollutants <strong>in</strong> an accurate, reproducible and reliable way. Currently there<br />

are significant challenges associated with the reliable and reproducible<br />

measurement of <strong>PM2.5</strong>.<br />

5. Long-term self-consistent records are essential for the fulfilment of policy<br />

requirements and to understand the impact of policy actions on the<br />

concentration of any given pollutant. At this time, it is not clear that we have<br />

measurements sufficient to meet this requirement for <strong>PM2.5</strong> ow<strong>in</strong>g to the nature<br />

of the measurement systems used. The answer to the question ‘Do we have a<br />

robust measure of <strong>PM2.5</strong>?’ rema<strong>in</strong>s substantially uncerta<strong>in</strong>. A major difficulty<br />

for assessment of compliance is that <strong>PM2.5</strong> measurement methods are still<br />

evolv<strong>in</strong>g and the reference method is currently be<strong>in</strong>g revised. Consequently,<br />

measurements made <strong>in</strong> 2020 may not be directly comparable to those made<br />

<strong>in</strong> the period 2009-2011 (the base period for the EU <strong>Air</strong> Quality Directive<br />

requirement). This sheds serious doubt on our ability to provide evidence that<br />

the EU exposure reduction target is be<strong>in</strong>g met for <strong>PM2.5</strong>. These measurement<br />

difficulties, and also the <strong>in</strong>terpretation of <strong>PM2.5</strong> data, provide significant<br />

challenges for the modell<strong>in</strong>g community. The measurement uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty is<br />

currently at the limit of be<strong>in</strong>g mean<strong>in</strong>gful for <strong>in</strong>terpretation by models and<br />

vice versa.<br />

6. AQEG strongly recommends that a focused work<strong>in</strong>g <strong>group</strong> is put together to<br />

make a short-term assessment of the risks of, and solutions and opportunities<br />

to mitigate, measurement uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties and of the way that uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties<br />

impact on our ability to deliver air <strong>quality</strong> policy <strong>in</strong> the UK.<br />

7. The second critical requirement concerns the availability and <strong>quality</strong> of<br />

chemically-speciated <strong>PM2.5</strong> measurements. It is clear these are essential to<br />

the development of effective mitigation policy via source apportionment, as<br />

they allow the del<strong>in</strong>eation of source–receptor relationships, as well as be<strong>in</strong>g a<br />

better comparator for models that deal with <strong>in</strong>dividual components. Speciated<br />

measurements could also be used <strong>in</strong> epidemiological studies to strengthen the<br />

knowledge of the <strong>in</strong>fluences of particle size and composition upon toxicity and<br />

allow the development of more ref<strong>in</strong>ed metrics for the prediction of effects<br />

on health.<br />

8. Modell<strong>in</strong>g data and some limited measurement data suggest that a large<br />

proportion of the regional background is comprised of the secondary <strong>in</strong>organic<br />

aerosols (SIA) nitrate and sulphate, as well as secondary organic aerosols (SOA).<br />

In cities this is enhanced by an urban <strong>in</strong>crement (Chapter 5, Figure 5.6). What<br />

do the measurements and models tell us about mitigation options?<br />

(a) Reduc<strong>in</strong>g urban <strong>in</strong>crement alone may not meet exposure reduction<br />

targets but there are sources that could be mitigated.<br />

(b) There is a significant transboundary import and export of SIA <strong>in</strong>to and<br />

out of the UK, and therefore there is a need for regional-based action.<br />

Modell<strong>in</strong>g estimates <strong>in</strong>dicate that per tonne of sulphur dioxide (SO2),<br />

nitrogen oxides (NOx) and ammonia (NH3) emitted by the UK, about<br />

50%, 55% and 35% respectively of the overall result<strong>in</strong>g population<br />

exposure to <strong>PM2.5</strong> is <strong>in</strong>curred outside the UK, i.e. results <strong>in</strong> exposure <strong>in</strong>

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