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Air quality expert group - Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in ... - Defra

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<strong>PM2.5</strong> <strong>in</strong> the UK<br />

120<br />

105. Receptor modell<strong>in</strong>g methods depend upon measured airborne concentrations<br />

to <strong>in</strong>fer the contributions of different source categories to concentrations <strong>in</strong> the<br />

atmosphere. Both chemical mass balance and multivariate statistical methods<br />

are applicable and results for the UK are available from a chemical mass balance<br />

model. The results have been compared with those of the PCM model and<br />

highlight significant differences <strong>in</strong> relation to <strong>in</strong>dustrial/commercial/residential<br />

emissions of primary particles and the model predictions for secondary organic<br />

aerosol particles. The receptor modell<strong>in</strong>g results highlight the weaknesses <strong>in</strong><br />

current knowledge of a number of sources, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g wood smoke and cook<strong>in</strong>g<br />

aerosol, and also suggest that NAEI emission factors for gas combustion may<br />

be rather high. Use of carbon-14 as a tracer allows a dist<strong>in</strong>ction to be drawn<br />

between carbon derived from contemporary sources, such as wood burn<strong>in</strong>g or<br />

emissions from vegetation, and that derived from fossil fuel sources. Analysis<br />

of carbon-14 <strong>in</strong> airborne <strong>particulate</strong> <strong>matter</strong> collected <strong>in</strong> Birm<strong>in</strong>gham <strong>in</strong>dicates a<br />

major contribution to secondary organic carbon from biogenic precursors.<br />

106. Formulation of abatement strategies is made difficult by <strong>in</strong>adequacies <strong>in</strong><br />

knowledge about the contribution of certa<strong>in</strong> sources and weaknesses <strong>in</strong><br />

understand<strong>in</strong>g precursor–secondary particle relationships for the major<br />

secondary components.<br />

107. Enhancement of emissions <strong>in</strong>ventories is essential if numerical models of<br />

atmospheric <strong>PM2.5</strong> are to be improved. Areas of particular importance are<br />

emissions of wood smoke, cook<strong>in</strong>g aerosol, abrasion particles from traffic<br />

and the <strong>PM2.5</strong> precursor gas ammonia. Both the emissions and atmospheric<br />

chemistry of biogenic VOCs are also <strong>in</strong> urgent need of further research.<br />

108. A critical assessment of emission <strong>in</strong>ventories and their ability to provide the<br />

data required for modell<strong>in</strong>g <strong>PM2.5</strong> concentrations and its component parts<br />

has been carried out. Inventories have traditionally been constructed for<br />

report<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>in</strong>ternational bodies follow<strong>in</strong>g prescribed methods and procedures,<br />

but these can fall short of the requirements of air <strong>quality</strong> modellers. AQEG<br />

recommends develop<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>ventories that provide a quantification of<br />

the spatial and temporal variability <strong>in</strong> emissions of primary <strong>PM2.5</strong> and<br />

its precursors from all contribut<strong>in</strong>g sources <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g those not covered<br />

<strong>in</strong> national <strong>in</strong>ventories or provide the means for calculat<strong>in</strong>g them <strong>in</strong> air<br />

<strong>quality</strong> models. This should <strong>in</strong>clude spatially-gridded <strong>in</strong>ventories with high<br />

resolution temporal profiles for different source sectors. This requires a better<br />

understand<strong>in</strong>g and means of quantify<strong>in</strong>g emissions from key sources. Several<br />

areas are identified for further research to achieve this goal, and which would<br />

help underp<strong>in</strong> the development of more complete and reliable <strong>in</strong>ventories for<br />

modellers to use. The key areas are:<br />

• non-exhaust vehicle emissions <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g tyre and brake wear, road abrasion<br />

and road dust resuspension;<br />

• fugitive dust emissions from construction, demolition, quarry<strong>in</strong>g, m<strong>in</strong>eral<br />

handl<strong>in</strong>g, and <strong>in</strong>dustrial and agricultural processes, and methods for<br />

quantify<strong>in</strong>g them nationally and locally;<br />

• <strong>PM2.5</strong> emissions from domestic and commercial cook<strong>in</strong>g;

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