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Proceedings of the 3rd European Conference on Intellectual Capital

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3.1 The research model<br />

Tatiana Garanina and Yana Pavlova<br />

The model <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> regressi<strong>on</strong> analysis which characterizes <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> relati<strong>on</strong>ship between <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> market-value<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> assets and <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> fundamental value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> tangible and intangible assets is analyzed in this research.<br />

The market-value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a company’s assets can be characterized by such subordinati<strong>on</strong>:<br />

P = P + P , (5)<br />

M<br />

A<br />

M<br />

E<br />

M<br />

D<br />

where M M M<br />

P , P , P – <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> market-value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> assets, equity and debt <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>reafter.<br />

A<br />

E<br />

D<br />

C<strong>on</strong>sidering that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> market-value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> equity is market capitalizati<strong>on</strong> (Cap), and <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> market-value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

dept (D) is usually assumed as its book value, equati<strong>on</strong> (5) can be rewritten as:<br />

M<br />

PA P<br />

= Cap + D . (6)<br />

The market-value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> assets for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> model calculati<strong>on</strong> appointed as average weighted market<br />

capitalizati<strong>on</strong> to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>tent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> bids over a period <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 2 nd quarter, which follows after <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> accounting<br />

year, plus book value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> debt to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> end <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> accounting period.<br />

The tested model is a two-factor <strong>on</strong>e which includes <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> influence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> fundamental value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> both<br />

tangible and intangible assets up<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> market-value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> assets <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a company:<br />

M<br />

A = 0 + μ1<br />

× VT<br />

+ μ2<br />

× VI<br />

μ + ε<br />

where μ , μ 1 , μ 2<br />

ε<br />

1<br />

0<br />

1<br />

, (M1)<br />

- coefficients <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> regressi<strong>on</strong> equati<strong>on</strong>;<br />

- random error.<br />

The tested hypo<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>sis can be formulated as follows: <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> market value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> assets <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a company<br />

depends <strong>on</strong> fundamental value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> its tangible and intangible assets.<br />

3.2 Statistical informati<strong>on</strong><br />

We have tested our hypo<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>sis for two samples <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> companies: Russian and UK. This helped us to<br />

compare <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> results <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> evaluati<strong>on</strong> for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> emerging Russian market and <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> well developed UK<br />

market.<br />

The Russian sample includes companies that trade <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>ir shares within <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Russian Trading System<br />

(RTS). The final sample we have used includes 43 Russian companies. The companies have been<br />

divided into five aggregated industries: mechanical engineering (incl. aircraft and automotive),<br />

extractive industry (incl. oil holdings and oil-and-gas companies), power engineering,<br />

telecommunicati<strong>on</strong>s and metallurgy (ferrous and n<strong>on</strong>-ferrous). For <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> research we used n<strong>on</strong>c<strong>on</strong>solidated<br />

financial data <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> sampled companies for 2001–2006.<br />

One <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> main problems <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> making this kind <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> research <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Russian market is <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> lack <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

informati<strong>on</strong>. That is why <strong>on</strong>ly <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> menti<strong>on</strong>ed five industries were chosen in order make <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> samples<br />

comparable. For companies from o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r industries in Russia it is not possible to obtain financial<br />

statements for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> researched period as <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>y are not provided by companies. For both samples, first,<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> model described above has been tested <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> whole sample, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>n separately <strong>on</strong> each industry.<br />

For <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> sec<strong>on</strong>d sample, companies which are operating in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> UK and listed <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong> Stock<br />

Exchange were chosen to test <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> hypo<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>sis. The same five industries as for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Russian sample<br />

were included in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> sample: mechanical engineering, extractive industry, power engineering,<br />

telecommunicati<strong>on</strong>s and metallurgy. The sample size is 50 companies for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> period from 2003 to<br />

2007.<br />

Data was obtained from <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> analytical reports submitted to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Lexis Nexis database.<br />

169

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