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Proceedings of the 3rd European Conference on Intellectual Capital

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Katja Pook and Campbell Warden<br />

translati<strong>on</strong>s can be achieved from outputs to outcomes 8 . Some multinati<strong>on</strong>al enterprises , e.g.<br />

General Electric, use a process that entails key people moving backwards and forwards between R+D<br />

and Marketing. They have identified <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> advantages <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> “knowledge transiti<strong>on</strong>” inside <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> people who<br />

move between key departments as <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>y bring with <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>m <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> “c<strong>on</strong>textual understanding” that cannot<br />

be readily codified. As a result, in many R+D intensive companies, “Research targets are established<br />

centrally first, and groups with different expertise are formed around <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>m. These multidisciplinary and<br />

cross-business functi<strong>on</strong> programs are aimed at technology leaps in strategic areas.” These<br />

developments have been <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> logical result <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> what M. Gibb<strong>on</strong>s et al. (1994) referred to in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>ir<br />

discussi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> how, “Best practice has moved from a customer-c<strong>on</strong>tractor model toward ‘joint<br />

producti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> knowledge’”. But it is not <strong>on</strong>ly <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> producti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> knowledge that makes participatory<br />

approaches valuable, but <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> entire way from visi<strong>on</strong> to acti<strong>on</strong>: The value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> results <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> engaging in<br />

Foresight depend, not <strong>on</strong>ly <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> strength <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> achieved expert opini<strong>on</strong> and c<strong>on</strong>sensus building, but<br />

also <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> capacity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> stakeholders to influence future trends and events. IC Reporting can be<br />

used to “influence future trends and events”. This is vital in view <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> fact that investing in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

innovati<strong>on</strong>-creativity process is inherently risky (Lev, 2001) so <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re is a clear need to be able to<br />

communicate <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> value creati<strong>on</strong> potential to possible Venture <strong>Capital</strong>ists and/or o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r sources <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

financial/intellectual support. The degree <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> success in this greatly influences <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> future <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> “an idea” or<br />

a start-up company. Engaging <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> potential Venture <strong>Capital</strong>ists and/or o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r sources <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

financial/intellectual support via <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>ir participati<strong>on</strong> in focussed foresight related to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> proposed<br />

development/exploitati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> company’s IC, can be a very effective way <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> realizing <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> joint “visi<strong>on</strong><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> future”.<br />

The future here is being shaped ra<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r than predicted. As menti<strong>on</strong>ed in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> introductory secti<strong>on</strong>, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

underlying mental models <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> TF and ICR are probabilistic ra<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r than deterministic <strong>on</strong>es. As<br />

participants have to accept different opini<strong>on</strong>s and viewpoints <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>y also need to c<strong>on</strong>sider that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re is<br />

not <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong>e and <strong>on</strong>ly truth. Facilitators <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> process have to make this clear and keep it present<br />

during <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> entire process. Management receives an informati<strong>on</strong> base from TF and ICR processes, but<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>y still carry <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> unlimited resp<strong>on</strong>sibility for decisi<strong>on</strong>s. No informati<strong>on</strong> will automatize decisi<strong>on</strong>making.<br />

Decisi<strong>on</strong>s are an integral part <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> "governance culture". The style or manner in which an<br />

organisati<strong>on</strong> (or a country) is run (or governed) has a particular set <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> attributes. These are sometimes<br />

referred to as “<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> way we do things” or as “<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> way we are”. This includes <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> unwritten code <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

acceptable versus unacceptable behaviour, e.g. towards bribe taking, or bribe <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fering, to illegally<br />

alter <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> acti<strong>on</strong>s ano<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r pers<strong>on</strong> or organisati<strong>on</strong>. The way in which authority is exercised, and <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> level<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> tolerance by subordinates <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> unreas<strong>on</strong>able or authoritarian behaviour by superiors as well as <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

opposite in regard to what is expected is <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> way <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> respect or h<strong>on</strong>our.<br />

7. Why use TF and ICM? Benefits and limitati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

Structured knowledge-oriented processes like ICR and TF imply an investment, mostly <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> time <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

(high level) experts; who will <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ten feel that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>y have more urgent things to do. Why should<br />

management, i.e. decisi<strong>on</strong> makers, invest in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se kinds <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> methods that work with intangibles and<br />

where <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> outcomes are hard to express in clear cause-effect-relati<strong>on</strong>ships and financial terms? As a<br />

c<strong>on</strong>densati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> former passages, we state some core arguments in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> following:<br />

7.1 What can ICM and foresight <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fer?<br />

Some <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> key approaches that TF and ICM can <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fer include <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> development <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a c<strong>on</strong>text where<br />

stakeholders can participate in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> building <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> acti<strong>on</strong> networks or advocacy coaliti<strong>on</strong>s (Georghiou,<br />

2007) and <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> delivery <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> "products". These can take <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> form <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> reports, recommendati<strong>on</strong>s, strategies<br />

etc. However, what is perhaps more important are <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> process “outcomes”, whereby expectati<strong>on</strong>s are<br />

aligned to create self-fulfilling prophecies, shared visi<strong>on</strong>s, etc. In turn <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se can be developed into a<br />

roadmap to a desired future.<br />

A wide variety <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> key stakeholders can be linked-in so that a c<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong> is made between decisi<strong>on</strong><br />

makers and subject experts. By working toge<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>y can create an expert opini<strong>on</strong> informati<strong>on</strong> base<br />

for decisi<strong>on</strong> makers, whereby <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se are “educated” in a process that could be described as<br />

knowledge creati<strong>on</strong> in decisi<strong>on</strong> makers. On <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r hand <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> subject experts can be sensitised to<br />

8 In this c<strong>on</strong>text, “outcomes” refers to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> use that is made <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> exercise’s results and recommendati<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

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