Travel in London Travel in London

8. Transport connectivity, physical accessibility and understanding London’s diverse communities
Figure 8.5
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
Changing proportion of Londoners of white/BAME ethnicity.
White
BAME
0%
2001 2011 2021 2031 2041
Source: TfL Planning, Strategic Analysis.
The growth in London’s BAME population is not expected to be even across each
group. Far greater growth is projected in Chinese and Asian communities than black
Caribbean and Indian.
Although international immigration into London is falling, previously higher levels
now mean that more than half (55 per cent) of births in London in 2012 were to
mothers born overseas.
The population is predicted to age in net terms, with the number of people aged 65
and over projected to increase by 75 per cent between 2011 and 2041 compared
with a 26 per cent increase of the Greater London population as a whole.
The geographic distribution of age groups across London varies, and therefore the
transport challenges in each area will vary. For example, as is described in chapter
11 of this report, outer London is expected to see a particular rise in the population
aged 65 years and over, leading to particular requirements and challenges for future
transport plans in these areas.
The proportion of younger Londoners (under 25) is however projected to increase at
a slower rate than the rest of the population with a 13 per cent increase between
2011 and 2041, although London is still a relatively ‘young city’. This is also
important from a perspective of future planning since many of the key transport
trends seen over the last decade are thought to relate to distinctive and changing
travel behaviour by younger people, for example a decrease in driving licence and
car ownership.
150 Travel in London, Report 8