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11. Spotlight: How has travel by <strong>London</strong>ers changed – <strong>in</strong>sights from 10 years of the <strong>London</strong> <strong>Travel</strong><br />

Demand Survey (LTDS)<br />

Figure 11.11<br />

Time spent travell<strong>in</strong>g per day as car driver – <strong>London</strong> residents.<br />

25<br />

M<strong>in</strong>utes travell<strong>in</strong>g as car driver per person per day<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15<br />

Greater <strong>London</strong> Inner <strong>London</strong> Outer <strong>London</strong><br />

L<strong>in</strong>ear (Greater <strong>London</strong>) L<strong>in</strong>ear (Inner <strong>London</strong>) L<strong>in</strong>ear (Outer <strong>London</strong>)<br />

Source: TfL Plann<strong>in</strong>g, Strategic Analysis.<br />

Summary<br />

For <strong>London</strong> residents the trends <strong>in</strong> car driver trips, distance travelled as a car driver<br />

and time spent travell<strong>in</strong>g as a car driver have all been downward over the 10 year<br />

period covered by LTDS. This is consistent with the ‘peak car’ hypothesis that<br />

proposes per capita car travel has begun a decl<strong>in</strong>e from a peak. Increas<strong>in</strong>g<br />

densification <strong>in</strong> <strong>London</strong>, and the response to this of more public transport<br />

provision, has contributed to the trend.<br />

The trend observed over this ten-year period does not, however, guarantee that the<br />

future will cont<strong>in</strong>ue to develop <strong>in</strong> exactly the same way. In particular, the<br />

occurrence of the recession <strong>in</strong> 2008 and a longer-term lack of growth <strong>in</strong> real<br />

household <strong>in</strong>comes <strong>in</strong> outer <strong>London</strong> dat<strong>in</strong>g from before LTDS began, have both<br />

meant there was little upward pressure on car use <strong>in</strong> <strong>London</strong>. A return to stronger<br />

economic growth or <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> outer <strong>London</strong> <strong>in</strong>comes <strong>in</strong> the com<strong>in</strong>g years could<br />

still see the recent trend of reduc<strong>in</strong>g per capita car use slow down or even reverse<br />

aga<strong>in</strong>.<br />

<strong>Travel</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>London</strong>, Report 8 215

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