Preproceedings 2006 - Austrian Ludwig Wittgenstein Society
Preproceedings 2006 - Austrian Ludwig Wittgenstein Society
Preproceedings 2006 - Austrian Ludwig Wittgenstein Society
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Is naturalism progressive? A naturalistic approach to the philosophy of science - Frey<br />
2. These attributes are not a subject to speculation,<br />
there being lots of empirical results from cognitive<br />
science for this.<br />
3. These results can be explained by evolutionary<br />
biology.<br />
4. Historical and social factors are not neglected – they<br />
are complemented.<br />
5. The theories of philosophers of science have to be<br />
warranted by historical case studies as another<br />
source of empirical support.<br />
The last point merits a short explanation. Donovan<br />
and Laudan (1988) examine postulates from Kuhn and<br />
Lakatos by checking them through case studies. The<br />
majority of postulates are disproved. So, even very<br />
thorough, credible and expert historicists like Kuhn or<br />
Lakatos lose the connection to how „real science” is done.<br />
This has to be avoided at all costs.<br />
Of course there are objections to cognitive<br />
naturalistic approaches as well. Four of them shall be<br />
discussed below:<br />
The first objection claims that individual cognitive<br />
processes cannot be studied; and if they could, it would<br />
not be possible to generalise from a genius to other<br />
individuals. This objection can be rejected, in so far as<br />
naturalists are interested in the cognitive processes that<br />
are common to all individuals. There are loads of data<br />
concerning human problem-solving, decision-theory,<br />
confirmation of hypotheses which are all relevant to<br />
discoveries (e. g. Tooby & Cosmides 1992; Newell &<br />
Simon 1972; Gigerenzer 1999).<br />
The second objection states that there is no wellfounded<br />
psychological theory to describe those<br />
phenomena. This is wrong, as the so-called Cognitive<br />
Psychology has been around since 1970 and Evolutionary<br />
Psychology since 1992.<br />
The third objection holds that biological explanations<br />
are too reductionistic and on the wrong level of description<br />
– thus these explanations are not able to explain cultural<br />
processes like scientific endeavors. Biological<br />
explanations, however, do not claim to explain all levels of<br />
analysis and I put emphasis on their complementary<br />
nature. Plus, reductionistic approaches have been very<br />
successful in theory and practice, e. g. biology<br />
(Ruse 1988).<br />
Fourth, accusations like evolutionary accounts imply<br />
radical nativism, panadaptionism or no possibiliy of<br />
falsification are outdated (nativism and panadaptionism:<br />
see Cosmides & Tooby 1994; Vollmer 1985/2003; not<br />
falsifiable: see Williams 1973; Buss 1989).<br />
In the following paragraphs I would like to apply this<br />
theoretical framework to a very short example. The<br />
example also emphasises the importance of empirical<br />
support and the necessity to do case studies.<br />
Human beings have massive problems in handling<br />
complex systems, a claim that is empirically well supported<br />
by quite a number of (computer)-simulations (Dörner 1989,<br />
1983, 1976). Dörner found that nearly all subjects –<br />
scientists or not – use the same strategies for problemsolving<br />
in artificial complex task environments. The<br />
strategies used are often error-prone and certainly a long<br />
way from optimal. Examples for errors are linear problemsolving,<br />
failure to take into account side effects, long term<br />
effects or feedback-loops. Moreover, humans tend to solve<br />
problems first that loom large, but not those that are really<br />
important – thus the question of priority is neglected. Other<br />
errors include the absence of control, the inability to see or<br />
correct one's own mistakes and difficulties to control a<br />
process. These errors were found to be almost completely<br />
independent of task and subject.<br />
To explain these shortcomings in real complex<br />
systems managed by scientists there is no need to<br />
postulate other factors than those above. But this has<br />
frequently been done.<br />
Let's take a look at the management of ecosystems<br />
like forests or national parks – real complex systems, most<br />
often run by scientists. Consider the Yellowstone national<br />
park:<br />
Practically identical with the so called „Freezer”simulation<br />
of Dörner we see the regulation of a state (the<br />
animal population of deer, beaver, bears of the moment),<br />
but not of the process. As these static tries to regulate<br />
animal populations are often confined to only one animal<br />
species (linear thinking) there have been big and<br />
unwanted fluctuations with disastrous consequences<br />
(Chase 1987). These fluctuations have been well-known<br />
since 1930 (one catastrophe through the same type of<br />
regulation) – but it seems to be very hard to learn from<br />
these mistakes.<br />
Another big problem arose when the existing<br />
multiple interdependencies and feedback-loops were not<br />
heeded. One result was the sharp decline of beaver and<br />
grizzly populations, because too many deer (which were<br />
regulated!) used up mutual food resources (Chase 1987).<br />
Two other examples that show practically the same<br />
problem-solving mechanisms are the management of the<br />
Blue Mountains in Oregon during the last 100 years (see<br />
Langston 1995 for details) and various very problematic<br />
introductions of new species (see Low 1999). I cannot go<br />
into these examples for lack of space, but they are – when<br />
seen in all their details – very illuminating: Again and again<br />
we notice the very same cognitive strategies and methods<br />
independent of context or time.<br />
These short considerations imply the answer to the<br />
question: Is naturalism progressive?<br />
The answer is a resounding yes, as I hope I could<br />
demonstrate. Not only is a naturalistic program (at least in<br />
the philosophy of science) superior in explanatory power to<br />
other attempts, but it is very much alive and fruitful as the<br />
very short example of a „case study” hopefully could show.<br />
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