7 PART- II DISASTER RISKS IN PAKISTAN 1. General. Pakistan is exposed to different types of hazards. Northern Pakistan and AJ&K are vulnerable to earthquakes, avalanches, GLOFs, landslides, floods, and drought, etc. The arid, semi-arid and plain areas are exposed to floods, flash floods, drought, pest attacks, and river erosion, etc. The coastal areas of Pakistan are exposed to cyclones, storm surges, and hydrological drought, while some parts of the coastal area in Sindh receive river floods as well. Most of the country‟s big cities are vulnerable to floods due to heavy rains. Fires and earthquakes are looming threats. These hazards pose serious dangers, judged by the fact that 6,073 people were killed and 8,989,631 affected in the period between 1993 and 2002 (World <strong>Disaster</strong> Report 2003, IFRC Geneva).This figure was outnumbered when a 7.6 Richter scale earthquake struck in 2005, killing more than 73,000 people and seriously affecting over 3.5 million in northern Pakistan. In addition, manmade disasters traumatize society, economy, and environment. These include industrial accidents, urban fires, oil spills, nuclear and radiological mishaps and civil and communal conflicts. 2. In the context of Pakistan, floods, cyclones, drought and transport accidents and incidents of terrorism are priority hazards in terms of frequency and their impact upon human lives, livelihoods, and infrastructure. Climate change leads to an increase in the frequency and intensity of hydro- meteorological hazards while earthquakes have a comparatively longer cycle, yet they have a huge impact on human lives, infrastructure, housing, livelihoods, etc. Therefore, earthquakes are considered one of the most lethal hazards. 3. Vulnerability describes the economic, social and environmental/physical conditions that make a community susceptible to a hazard event resulting in potential disasters. Generally, vulnerability can be related to factors such as poverty, gender, weak governance, under developed institutions, poor access to services, the absence/erosion of risk transfer mechanisms and social safety nets, environmental degradation, rapid urbanization, illiteracy and low levels of education. Vulnerability in Pakistan (as in other countries) is a complex and contextual phenomenon that has to be looked at specifically, i.e., in relation to concrete hazards and geographical/climatic conditions, for example, specific to mountains, plain areas, and coastal belts 4 . It has been covered subsequently at length. 4. Hazards a. Earthquakes. Pakistan lies on a seismic belt and is therefore prone to earthquakes 4 UN DRM Framework of small magnitude and larger earthquakes occasionally (Fig-2). The mountain ranges of the Hindu Kush, Karakoram, Suleman, Northern Areas, Chitral District in NWFP, AJK, and in Balochistan, Zhob, Quetta, Khuzdar, Dalbadin, and Makran Coast, including Gwadar and Pasni, are located in high-risk areas. In addition, the cities of Karachi, Islamabad and Peshawar are located on the edge of high-risk areas. Four
8 major earthquakes have hit areas comprising Pakistan i.e Quetta in 1935, Makran Region in 1945, Gilgit-Baltistan in 1976 and unprecedented earthquake jolting AJ&K/ NWFP & some part of ICT in October 2005. The following districts are vulnerable to earthquakes 5 :- District Province (1) Gwadar, Mastung, Quetta and Ziarat Balochistan (2) Abbottabad, Battagram, Chitral, Mansehra, Peshawar, Shangla and Swat NWFP (3) Karachi Sindh (4) Rawalpindi Punjab (5) Bagh, Neelum and Muzaffarabad AJ & K (6) Astore Gilgit-Baltistan (7) Islamabad ICT 6. Geographical Exposure Earthquakes/seismic <strong>National</strong> <strong>Disaster</strong> Management Authority (<strong>NDMA</strong>) Fig-2 <strong>Disaster</strong> Risks in Pakistan b. Floods. Pakistan is highly exposed to floods, which occur on a regular basis in the country. The floods occur as a consequence of the summer weather system, which develops in the Bay of Bengal during the monsoon months of July–September. Depressions originate from the Bay of Bengal and passing over lower central India, enter Pakistan and then move south - north toward Kashmir. The mountains in the extreme north of Pakistan provide a perennial source of inflow to the rivers and deliver significant 5 Earthquake 8/10 Learning from Pakistan‟s Experience, <strong>NDMA</strong> (destruction statement already explained in earlier discussions)
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101 (22) Support and oversee media
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103 (21) Adapt logistics activities
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105 Annex D To National Disaster Re
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107 (10) Prepare a inventory of equ
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109 (13) Prepare an inventory of eq
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149 (9) Incorporate lessons learnt
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153 (2) Prepare contingency plan an
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1. NDMA 155 Annex G To National Dis
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157 n. Pakistan Red Crescent Societ
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159 o. Jhehlum 0544-9270061 0544-92
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161 m. Kharan 0847-510675, 510273 0
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163 m. Matiari 022-2760020-1 022-27
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165 Annex H To National Disaster Re
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167 where people are residing durin
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Shelter 169 How many houses damaged
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171 How many women, men of all ages
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175 If Not. What is the alternate?
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Technical Colleges Colleges Any oth
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Crop Wheat Rice Sugarcane Cotton So
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185 21. Public Awareness. The proce