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ISBN 978-952-5726-09-1 (Print)<br />
Proceedings of the Second International Symposium on Networking and Network Security (ISNNS ’10)<br />
Jinggangshan, P. R. China, 2-4, April. 2010, pp. 009-011<br />
Analysis of Uncertainty Information for Several<br />
Kinds of Complex Systems<br />
Jiqin Peng, and Jinfang Han<br />
Science College, Hebei University of Science and Technology, Shijiazhuang 050018 ,Hebei China<br />
pengjiqin8787@126.com , Jfhanemail@126.com<br />
Abstract—In this paper, three kinds of uncertain complex<br />
system are discussed by analyzing uncertainty of<br />
information, and their respective connotation characteristic<br />
along with the main difference and connection are<br />
elaborated from theory method, which make it convenient<br />
for people to best distinguish and handle uncertain problem.<br />
Finally, a kind of uncertain information system just born<br />
and a vital problem remaining to be solved are provided.<br />
Index Terms—uncertainty System, Information, Random,<br />
Fuzzy ,Grey, Unascertained<br />
I. INTRODUCTION<br />
With respect to the uncertainty of complex system,<br />
Professor Wang Qingyin [1] have partly discussed and<br />
inquired. Some study methods and mathematics relation<br />
between four kinds of uncertainty have been provided and<br />
discussed, which open up train of thought, establish basis<br />
for further recognizing and deeply studying complex<br />
system. The uncertainty of system is uncertain<br />
information System contain. Uncertain information is the<br />
information with uncertainty. Some uncertain information<br />
will accompany with the description of system<br />
information characteristic. In this paper, the uncertainty of<br />
system is introduced and discussed in other point of view;<br />
the respective characteristic of various kinds of uncertain<br />
system are expounded. The paper sum up, compare,<br />
contrast in many aspects to explain that which method is<br />
used to solve the uncertain problem of complex system<br />
under what situation (condition).<br />
II. UNCERTAINTY OF SYSTEM INFORMATION<br />
To identify a system is to identify its information<br />
characteristic, information characteristic is mainly the<br />
unity of system’s essential factor, structure, function. A<br />
system can’t be described and expressed without these<br />
information characteristic. But, in respective aspects from<br />
the generation of information to the description of<br />
information characteristic, the information grasped is<br />
uncertain owing to various reasons. For example, in the<br />
process of information generation, transmission and<br />
receiving, owing to the disturbance of outside disturbance<br />
source, some distortion phenomenon usually happen<br />
when source information arrive at clinic information<br />
through channel. When recognizing and describing<br />
system’s information characteristic, owing to the<br />
objective thing’s complexity, people subjective<br />
knowledge’s limitation, natural language’s intrinsic<br />
uncertainty, the quality’s appearance, the quantity’s<br />
provision, relationship’s expression and law’s find, people<br />
© 2010 ACADEMY PUBLISHER<br />
AP-PROC-CS-10CN006<br />
9<br />
can’t truthfully reflect objectively existing things.<br />
Distortion and no easily exact reflection make information<br />
uncertain. For uncertainty is universal in objective reality,<br />
people have to study, build up and apply uncertain<br />
information system. Via analyzing several kinds of<br />
uncertain information, different uncertain systems are<br />
expounded<br />
Random Information<br />
A lot of actual problems involve the analysis and design<br />
of system disturbed by environment uncertainty. The<br />
uncertain disturbance may be caused by different source.<br />
Among them, a kind of disturbance source is a certain<br />
causality that does not happen between condition and<br />
event because the condition is insufficient. Hence, it is<br />
uncertain whether the event happen or not (namely the<br />
event maybe happen or not). The kind of uncertainty is<br />
called randomness.<br />
For random system, or in handling random problem in<br />
reality, the main mathematics tool adopted is statistical<br />
mathematics, that is, probability statistics (containing<br />
random process). It may be called the theory method of<br />
handling random system.<br />
The characteristic of probability statistics is many data.<br />
Probability statistics faces uncertainty of infinite data but<br />
no law; it solves the problem of “big sample uncertainty”,<br />
the data demanded is classical distribution. For example,<br />
the distribution used frequently is binomial distribution,<br />
Passion distribution, uniform distribution, normal<br />
distribution…etc. Among them, the normal distribution is<br />
used most. The basis of probability statistics is Cantor set,<br />
the set of “1” and “0”. The elements of set have the<br />
property of Yes or not, the means of probability statistics<br />
is “statistical”, namely, acquiring law via statistics. The<br />
goal of probability statistics is historic statistical law. A<br />
big sample studied contains all the data of reality and<br />
unreality time zone, reality time zone is transient relative<br />
to unreality time zone, therefore, via statistical way, all<br />
statistical data embody historic statistical law. Hence, the<br />
thinking way of probability statistics is “appear again”.<br />
The information criterion of probability is infinite<br />
information. Because of footing “big sample uncertainty”,<br />
probability statistics handle problem in infinite<br />
information space.<br />
Fuzzy Information<br />
Owing to the complexity of things, for many things, its<br />
boundary isn’t obvious, characteristic is not explicit, so<br />
the information about them is uncertain, namely fuzzy.<br />
The things that have existed and happened in objective