18.12.2012 Views

Proceedings

Proceedings

Proceedings

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

agreements, which had dropped slightly in the half-year up to end - 2009 (–6%)<br />

increased by 2% to 3.6 trillion $. Overall, nominal growth in amounts outstanding was<br />

subdued or negative in all risk categories, with a 7% drop in credit derivatives leading<br />

in percentage terms.<br />

We can easily notice that the most used instruments on this market are the derivatives<br />

on interest rates. The second place is held by the Credit Default Swaps, these being<br />

the most used category of derivatives on the OTC market and not only. In our opinion,<br />

the degree of information and education regarding the derivatives financial<br />

instruments used influences the degree of exposure to the associated risks.<br />

Figure 3. The structure of derivatives products on the global OTC market<br />

(Source: Triennial and semiannual surveys, Positions in global over the counter (OTC)<br />

derivatives markets at end-June 2010, 2010:9)<br />

Notional amounts outstanding of OTC interest rate derivatives remained stable at 452<br />

trillion $ in the first half of 2010, after increasing by 3% in the previous six months.<br />

Positions between reporting dealer fell by 5%, while business with non-financial<br />

customers grew by 6%, mainly in short maturities. Market values were buoyant, rising<br />

by 25% in aggregate in the half-year up to June 2010, with the value of contracts on<br />

US dollar interest rates increasing by 42%.<br />

Notional amounts outstanding of credit default swaps declined for the fifth<br />

consecutive period, largely due to terminations of existing contracts. The structure of<br />

the market continued to change. Positions in the generally more liquid multi-name<br />

contracts increased by 10%, while those in single-name contracts continued to<br />

decline, with a decrease of 16%. Gross market values for single-name contracts<br />

dropped by 20%, while those for multi-name contracts increased by 21%.<br />

In our opinion, the credit default swap contracts’ market, estimated at 55 trillions $,<br />

but unregulated and lacking transparence, could generate the next crises of the<br />

financial system. While the fear of a new crises on the credit default swap contracts<br />

market is accentuated in the financial system, the apparently imminent intervention of<br />

the authorities (in order to regulate these contracts and make them more transparent)<br />

~ 330 ~

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!