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FINANCIAL MARKET EFFICIENCY<br />

AND PERSPECTIVES ON IFRS ADOPTION.<br />

CASE STUDY FOR THE UNITED KINGDOM,<br />

THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA AND JAPAN<br />

Ştefana DIMA (CRISTEA) 1<br />

Vasile Goldis Western University of Arad, Romania<br />

Bogdan DIMA & Otilia ŞĂRĂMĂT<br />

West University of Timişoara, Romania<br />

ABSTRACT<br />

This paper examines the random walk behavior of three major capital markets, namely<br />

United Kingdom, United States of America and Japan. Results are obtained for DJI, FTSE<br />

100 and NIKKEI 225 indexes, over a time span from 1995 to 2010. Our analysis uses the so<br />

called Lo-MacKinlay (1988) Variance Ratio Tests and some unit root tests in order to<br />

estimate if the corresponding Hurst exponents of these indexes evolve as random walk<br />

processes. The results suggest that the Hurst exponents for the prices series can not be<br />

described as random walk processes. The unit root analysis suggest that overall, the trend<br />

stationarity hypothesis can be rejected in the favor of unit root with drift processes. We are<br />

viewing such outcome as an empirical proof for the difficulty of validating the weak form of<br />

markets informational efficiency. However, we are considering that the intensification of<br />

IFRS adoption can contribute to further improvement of this efficiency.<br />

KEYWORDS: informational efficiency, random walk, IFRS adoption, financial market<br />

INTRODUCTION<br />

Efficiency of capital markets has important implications for the investors’ policy of<br />

investment. In efficient markets, all fundamental information about the intrinsic value<br />

of traded assets and information related to market characteristics should be reflected<br />

in prices, without any distortions or omissions. So, prices of the assets will reflect<br />

markets’ best estimate for the risk and expected return of the asset, taking into account<br />

what is known about the asset at the time. Therefore, there will be no undervalued<br />

assets offering higher than expected return or overvalued assets offering lower than<br />

the expected return. All assets will be appropriately priced in the market offering<br />

optimal reward to risk.<br />

In general terms, market efficiency means that prices “fully reflect all the available<br />

information” (Fama, 1970: 383). The accepted view was that when information arises,<br />

the news spreads very quickly and is incorporated into the prices of securities without<br />

delay. Thus, neither technical analysis, which is the study of past stock prices in an<br />

1 Correspondence address: Ştefana DIMA (CRISTEA), Vasile Goldiş Western University of Arad,<br />

Faculty of Economic Sciences, Address: 15, Mihai Eminescu St., Arad, Romania ; email:<br />

stefana_cristea@yahoo.it<br />

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