World Oil Outlook - Opec

China. Oil use in this sector in the OECD and Eurasia remains essentially flat, as efficiency
improvements, fuel switching and the continued declining importance of the
sector for economic growth cancel out upward pressures upon oil demand given the
aggregate rise in economic activity.
Residential/commercial/agriculture
Of the residential, commercial and public services, agriculture/forestry and fishing
sector, it is the residential sector that accounts for close to half of the oil consumption
in this grouping. According to the OECD, the treatment of these sectors as one is essentially
driven by the difficulties in distinguishing consumption between each of the
components. Thus, the sum of the sectors is a more accurate figure than the individual
components.
The historical patterns for oil use in these sectors have differed significantly between
OECD and developing countries. As can be viewed in Figure 2.17, there has
been a strong upward movement in oil use in developing countries partly due to rising
levels of income, but also because of the gradual switch to commercial energy use
from traditional fuels. While in 1971, OECD use was more than seven times that of
Figure 2.17
Figure 2.17
Oil use in residential/commercial/agriculture
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0
mboe/d
OECD Developing countries
1971 1990 2009
Source: OECD/IEA Energy Balances of OECD/non-OECD countries, 2011.
Figure 2.7
103
Chapter
2
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0