World Oil Outlook - Opec

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this sector was in these countries, and India and China together account for less than
16% of demand growth over the past decade. OPEC is by far the largest user of oil to
generate electricity, with more than 30% of global use in Member Countries (Figure
2.19). There has been a steady decline of oil use in this sector in all OECD regions,
while developing country use has grown (OPEC accounted for 55% of the increase in
developing country use over the years 1971–2009). The year 2000 saw OECD oil use
in this sector fall below that of developing countries for the first time, and by 2009 it
was just 43% of the total in developing countries (Figure 2.20). Globally, the use of
oil in this sector is in steady decline, falling by close to 30% over the years 1990–2009,
with a particularly swift reduction in Eurasia.
Figure 2.19
Oil use in electricity generation in 2009
OPEC
Other Asia
OECD America
OECD Europe
Middle East & Africa
OECD Asia Oceania
Latin America
Russia
India
Other Eurasia
China
Figure 2.19
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6
Source: OECD/IEA Energy Balances of OECD/non-OECD countries, 2011.
mboe/d
Coal is the dominant fuel in this sector. Fuel switching towards high efficiency
combined-cycle gas plants is likely, if severe GHG policies emerge that penalise carbon
emissions. US shale gas developments points to an even greater potential for gas in
this sector, and while this will mainly compete with coal, it is likely that gas-driven