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Demographic and Health Survey 2009-10 - Timor-Leste Ministry of ...

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Table 7.4 shows that the mean ideal family size<br />

increases with the number <strong>of</strong> living children among both<br />

women <strong>and</strong> men, rising from 4 children among respondents<br />

with no children to just over 7 children among respondents<br />

with six or more children, indicating the positive association<br />

between actual <strong>and</strong> ideal number <strong>of</strong> children. This positive<br />

association between actual <strong>and</strong> ideal number <strong>of</strong> children<br />

could be due to two factors. First, to the extent that women<br />

are able to implement their fertility desires, women who want<br />

larger families will tend to achieve larger families. Second,<br />

some women may have difficulty admitting their desire for<br />

fewer children if they could begin childbearing again <strong>and</strong><br />

may in fact report their actual number as their preferred<br />

number.<br />

Table 7.5 shows the mean ideal number <strong>of</strong> children<br />

for all women age 15-49 by background characteristics. The<br />

mean ideal number <strong>of</strong> children increases with age, ranging<br />

from a low <strong>of</strong> 3.9 children among women age 15-19 to a high<br />

<strong>of</strong> 6.1 children among women age 45-49. In the 2003 DHS<br />

the corresponding figures were 4.8 children for women age<br />

15-19 <strong>and</strong> 5.8 for women age 45-49. This preference for<br />

fewer children in the youngest cohort may foretell an<br />

emerging shift in ideal family size preferences.<br />

The mean ideal number <strong>of</strong> children is higher in rural<br />

than in urban areas. The mean ideal number <strong>of</strong> children is<br />

lowest among women in Dili (4.3) <strong>and</strong> highest among women<br />

Ainaro (6.5).<br />

The mean ideal number <strong>of</strong> children varies inversely<br />

with education, with a nearly two-child difference between<br />

women with no education (5.8) <strong>and</strong> women with more than<br />

secondary education (3.9). The mean ideal number <strong>of</strong><br />

children varies inversely with wealth, from 5.4 among<br />

women in the lowest quintile to 4.3 among women in the<br />

highest wealth quintile.<br />

7.5 FERTILITY PLANNING<br />

Table 7.5 Mean ideal number <strong>of</strong> children<br />

Mean ideal number <strong>of</strong> children for all women<br />

age 15-49 by background characteristics,<br />

<strong>Timor</strong>-<strong>Leste</strong> <strong>2009</strong>-<strong>10</strong><br />

Background<br />

characteristic Mean<br />

Number<br />

<strong>of</strong><br />

women 1<br />

Age<br />

15-19 3.9 2,988<br />

20-24 4.4 2,271<br />

25-29 5.0 1,846<br />

30-34 5.5 1,486<br />

35-39 5.9 1,616<br />

40-44 6.0 1,334<br />

45-49<br />

Residence<br />

6.1 1,080<br />

Urban 4.4 3,204<br />

Rural<br />

District<br />

5.2 9,417<br />

Aileu 5.3 543<br />

Ainaro 6.5 552<br />

Baucau 4.8 1,391<br />

Bobonaro 5.2 1,247<br />

Covalima 4.6 739<br />

Dili 4.3 2,322<br />

Ermera 5.8 1,534<br />

Lautem 5.6 806<br />

Liquiçá 4.8 755<br />

Manatuto 4.5 586<br />

Manufahi 4.9 450<br />

Oecussi 4.5 855<br />

Viqueque<br />

Education<br />

5.4 843<br />

No education 5.8 3,726<br />

Primary 5.2 2,891<br />

Secondary 4.4 5,575<br />

More than secondary<br />

Wealth quintile<br />

3.9 429<br />

Lowest 5.4 2,232<br />

Second 5.3 2,397<br />

Middle 5.2 2,504<br />

Fourth 5.0 2,578<br />

Highest 4.3 2,9<strong>10</strong><br />

Total 5.0 12,622<br />

1 Number <strong>of</strong> women who gave a numeric<br />

response<br />

Information collected from the TLDHS can also be used to estimate the level <strong>of</strong> unwanted<br />

fertility. Moreover, this information provides some insight into the degree to which couples are able to<br />

control fertility. Women age 15-49 were asked a series <strong>of</strong> questions about each child born to them in<br />

the preceding five years, as well as any current pregnancy, to determine whether the birth or<br />

pregnancy was wanted then, wanted later (mistimed), or not wanted at all (unwanted) at the time <strong>of</strong><br />

conception. In assessing these results, it is important to recognize that women may declare a<br />

previously unwanted birth or current pregnancy as wanted, <strong>and</strong> this rationalization may in fact result<br />

in an underestimate <strong>of</strong> the true extent <strong>of</strong> unwanted births.<br />

Table 7.6 shows the percent distribution <strong>of</strong> births (including current pregnancy) in the five<br />

years preceding the survey by planning status <strong>of</strong> the birth, <strong>and</strong> according to birth order <strong>and</strong> age <strong>of</strong><br />

mother at birth. According to the data, 86 percent <strong>of</strong> births in the five years preceding the survey were<br />

wanted then, 12 percent were mistimed, <strong>and</strong> 2 percent were unwanted. In general, the proportion <strong>of</strong><br />

unwanted births increases with birth order. Four percent <strong>of</strong> births <strong>of</strong> order four <strong>and</strong> higher <strong>and</strong> one<br />

percent <strong>of</strong> births <strong>of</strong> order three are unwanted. Mistimed births are most common at parity level two.<br />

Data from the 2003 DHS show that there has been little change in the planning status <strong>of</strong> children, with<br />

86 percent <strong>of</strong> births in the five years preceding the survey planned <strong>and</strong> 11 percent mistimed.<br />

Unwanted births declined from 4 percent in 2003 to 2 percent in <strong>2009</strong>-<strong>10</strong>.<br />

Fertility Preferences | 97

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