Demographic and Health Survey 2009-10 - Timor-Leste Ministry of ...
Demographic and Health Survey 2009-10 - Timor-Leste Ministry of ...
Demographic and Health Survey 2009-10 - Timor-Leste Ministry of ...
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54 | Fertility<br />
4.4 CHILDREN EVER BORN AND SURVIVING<br />
Data on the number <strong>of</strong> children ever born reflect the accumulation <strong>of</strong> births over the past 30<br />
years <strong>and</strong> therefore have limited relevance to current fertility levels, particularly when the country has<br />
experienced a decline in fertility. Moreover, the data are subject to recall error, which is typically<br />
greater for older than for younger women. Nevertheless, the information on children ever born (or<br />
parity) increases our underst<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>of</strong> a number <strong>of</strong> issues. The parity data show how average family<br />
size varies across age groups. The percentage <strong>of</strong> women in their forties who have never had children<br />
also provides an indicator <strong>of</strong> the level <strong>of</strong> primary infertility or the inability <strong>of</strong> women to bear children.<br />
Comparison <strong>of</strong> the differences in the mean number <strong>of</strong> children ever born <strong>and</strong> surviving reflects the<br />
cumulative effects <strong>of</strong> mortality levels during the period in which women have been bearing children.<br />
Table 4.5 shows the percent distribution <strong>of</strong> all women <strong>and</strong> currently married women by<br />
number <strong>of</strong> children ever born, mean number <strong>of</strong> children ever born, <strong>and</strong> mean number <strong>of</strong> children<br />
living. More than nine in ten women age 15-19 (94 percent) have never given birth. However, this<br />
proportion declines to one in five (21 percent) among women age 25-29 <strong>and</strong> to less than <strong>10</strong> percent<br />
among women age 30 <strong>and</strong> above, indicating that childbearing among <strong>Timor</strong>ese women is very high.<br />
On average, <strong>Timor</strong>ese women nearing the end <strong>of</strong> their reproductive years have attained a parity <strong>of</strong><br />
about 6 children.<br />
Table 4.5 Children ever born <strong>and</strong> living<br />
Percent distribution <strong>of</strong> all women <strong>and</strong> currently married women by number <strong>of</strong> children ever born, mean number <strong>of</strong> children ever born, <strong>and</strong> mean<br />
number <strong>of</strong> living children, according to age group, <strong>Timor</strong>-<strong>Leste</strong> <strong>2009</strong>-<strong>10</strong><br />
Mean<br />
number<br />
<strong>of</strong><br />
children<br />
ever born<br />
Mean<br />
number<br />
<strong>of</strong> living<br />
children<br />
Number <strong>of</strong> children ever born<br />
Number<br />
Age<br />
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 <strong>10</strong>+ Total <strong>of</strong> women<br />
ALL WOMEN<br />
15-19 94.3 4.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 <strong>10</strong>0.0 3,144 0.07 0.07<br />
20-24 56.2 18.7 14.9 7.7 1.9 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 <strong>10</strong>0.0 2,343 0.82 0.77<br />
25-29 21.2 12.6 20.2 19.1 15.9 7.3 2.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 <strong>10</strong>0.0 1,897 2.34 2.16<br />
30-34 9.5 6.2 8.4 15.6 18.6 17.5 13.7 5.9 3.0 1.2 0.3 <strong>10</strong>0.0 1,534 3.94 3.56<br />
35-39 7.7 2.8 5.6 9.1 15.0 14.3 15.8 12.5 9.0 5.4 2.8 <strong>10</strong>0.0 1,684 5.04 4.50<br />
40-44 5.6 3.5 4.8 6.9 <strong>10</strong>.6 11.5 15.6 13.0 11.1 7.2 <strong>10</strong>.1 <strong>10</strong>0.0 1,388 5.80 5.06<br />
45-49 7.8 2.7 4.6 7.1 8.7 11.5 13.7 13.2 11.2 7.8 11.8 <strong>10</strong>0.0 1,146 5.86 5.07<br />
Total 39.0 7.9 8.4 8.5 8.6 7.3 6.9 4.9 3.7 2.3 2.5 <strong>10</strong>0.0 13,137 2.73 2.44<br />
CURRENTLY MARRIED WOMEN<br />
15-19 32.1 51.6 12.7 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 <strong>10</strong>0.0 243 0.88 0.83<br />
20-24 <strong>10</strong>.3 37.4 30.8 16.2 4.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 <strong>10</strong>0.0 1,<strong>10</strong>0 1.70 1.60<br />
25-29 5.4 13.7 24.4 23.3 19.6 9.0 3.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 <strong>10</strong>0.0 1,516 2.85 2.64<br />
30-34 3.0 5.6 8.2 16.7 20.4 19.3 15.0 6.6 3.4 1.3 0.4 <strong>10</strong>0.0 1,362 4.29 3.88<br />
35-39 2.9 1.8 5.1 9.6 15.9 15.2 17.5 13.4 9.9 5.7 3.0 <strong>10</strong>0.0 1,514 5.41 4.84<br />
40-44 1.8 2.8 4.5 7.0 <strong>10</strong>.1 11.7 16.8 13.8 12.3 8.1 11.1 <strong>10</strong>0.0 1,211 6.19 5.42<br />
45-49 4.6 2.1 3.8 6.4 9.2 11.4 14.5 13.7 12.7 8.5 13.3 <strong>10</strong>0.0 960 6.25 5.40<br />
Total 5.4 11.4 12.9 13.4 13.6 11.3 11.0 7.6 5.9 3.6 3.9 <strong>10</strong>0.0 7,906 4.29 3.84<br />
The same pattern is replicated for currently married women, except that the mean number <strong>of</strong><br />
children ever born is higher for currently married women (4.3 children) than for all women (2.7<br />
children). The difference between all women <strong>and</strong> currently married women in the mean number <strong>of</strong><br />
children ever born is due to a substantial proportion <strong>of</strong> young <strong>and</strong> unmarried women in the former<br />
category who exhibit lower fertility.<br />
As expected, the mean number <strong>of</strong> children ever born <strong>and</strong> mean number <strong>of</strong> children surviving<br />
rise with the increasing age <strong>of</strong> women. Comparison <strong>of</strong> the mean number <strong>of</strong> children ever born with<br />
the mean number <strong>of</strong> living children reveals the experience <strong>of</strong> child loss among <strong>Timor</strong>ese women. By<br />
the end <strong>of</strong> their reproductive years (age 45-49), women in <strong>Timor</strong>-<strong>Leste</strong> have given birth, on average,<br />
to 5.9 children, with 5.1 surviving.<br />
Voluntary childlessness is uncommon in <strong>Timor</strong>-<strong>Leste</strong>, <strong>and</strong> currently married women with no<br />
children are likely to be those who are sterile or unable to bear children. The level <strong>of</strong> childlessness<br />
among married women at the end <strong>of</strong> their reproductive period can be used as an indicator <strong>of</strong> the level