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Demographic and Health Survey 2009-10 - Timor-Leste Ministry of ...

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with their death, or they may live in a culture that discourages discussion <strong>of</strong> the dead. The possible<br />

occurrence <strong>of</strong> these data problems in the <strong>2009</strong>-<strong>10</strong> TLDHS is discussed with reference to the data<br />

quality tables in Appendix C. Underreporting <strong>of</strong> births <strong>and</strong> deaths is generally more common the<br />

further back in time an event has occurred.<br />

An unusual pattern in the distribution <strong>of</strong> births by calendar years is an indication <strong>of</strong> omission<br />

<strong>of</strong> children or age displacement. In the TLDHS, the cut<strong>of</strong>f date for asking health questions was<br />

January 2004. Table C.4 shows that the overall percentage <strong>of</strong> births for which a month <strong>and</strong> year <strong>of</strong><br />

birth was reported is almost <strong>10</strong>0 percent for both children who have died <strong>and</strong> children who are alive.<br />

Table C.4 shows some age displacement across this boundary for both living <strong>and</strong> dead children. The<br />

distribution <strong>of</strong> living children <strong>and</strong> the total number <strong>of</strong> children shows a deficit in 2004 <strong>and</strong> an excess<br />

in 2003, as denoted by the calendar year ratios. The deficit in 2004 can be attributed to the<br />

transference <strong>of</strong> births by interviewers out <strong>of</strong> the period for which health data were collected.<br />

Transference is proportionately higher for dead children than for living children, <strong>and</strong> this<br />

displacement may affect mortality rates. The transference <strong>of</strong> children, especially deceased children,<br />

out <strong>of</strong> the five-year period preceding the survey is likely to result in an underestimate <strong>of</strong> the true level<br />

<strong>of</strong> childhood mortality for that period.<br />

Underreporting <strong>of</strong> deaths is usually assumed to be more common for deaths that occur very<br />

early in infancy. Omission <strong>of</strong> deaths or misclassification <strong>of</strong> deaths as stillbirths may also be more<br />

common among women who have had several children or in cases where death took place a long time<br />

ago. To assess the impact <strong>of</strong> omission on measures <strong>of</strong> child mortality, two indicators are used: (1) the<br />

percentage <strong>of</strong> deaths that occurred within seven days <strong>of</strong> birth to the number that occurred within one<br />

month <strong>of</strong> birth <strong>and</strong> (2) the percentage <strong>of</strong> neonatal to infant deaths. It is hypothesized that omission<br />

will be more prevalent for those who died immediately after birth than for those who lived longer, <strong>and</strong><br />

that it will be more common for events that took place in the distant past compared with those that<br />

took place in the more recent past. Table C.5 shows data on age at death for early infant deaths.<br />

Selective underreporting <strong>of</strong> early neonatal deaths would result in an abnormally low ratio <strong>of</strong> deaths<br />

within the first seven days <strong>of</strong> life to all neonatal deaths. Early infant deaths have not been greatly<br />

underreported in the TLDHS survey, as suggested by the high ratio <strong>of</strong> deaths in the first seven days <strong>of</strong><br />

life to all neonatal deaths (76 percent in the five years preceding the survey).<br />

Heaping <strong>of</strong> the age at death on certain digits is another problem that is inherent in most<br />

retrospective surveys. Misreporting <strong>of</strong> age at death biases age pattern estimates <strong>of</strong> mortality if the net<br />

result is the transference <strong>of</strong> deaths between age segments for which the rates are calculated. For<br />

example, child mortality may be overestimated relative to infant mortality if children who died in the<br />

first year <strong>of</strong> life are reported as having died at age 1 or older. In an effort to minimize misreporting <strong>of</strong><br />

age at death, interviewers were instructed to record deaths at under 1 month in days <strong>and</strong> deaths at<br />

under 2 years in months. In addition, they were trained to probe deaths reported at exactly 1 year or 12<br />

months to ensure that they had actually occurred at 12 months. The distribution <strong>of</strong> deaths under 2<br />

years during the 20 years prior to the survey by month <strong>of</strong> death shows that there is some heaping at 6,<br />

9, <strong>and</strong> 12 months <strong>of</strong> age, with corresponding deficits in adjacent months (Table C.6). However,<br />

heaping is less pronounced for deaths in the five years preceding the survey, for which the most recent<br />

mortality rates are calculated.<br />

8.3 LEVELS AND TRENDS IN INFANT AND CHILD MORTALITY<br />

Neonatal, postneonatal, infant, child, <strong>and</strong> under-5 mortality rates are shown in Table 8.1 for<br />

cohorts <strong>of</strong> children born in three consecutive five-year periods before the survey. Under-5 mortality<br />

for the most recent period (0-4 years before the survey or, roughly, during the calendar years 2005-<br />

<strong>2009</strong>) is 64 deaths per 1,000 live births. This means that 1 in 16 children born in <strong>Timor</strong>-<strong>Leste</strong> dies<br />

before the fifth birthday. Seventy percent <strong>of</strong> deaths among children under age 5 occur during the first<br />

year <strong>of</strong> life: infant mortality is 45 deaths per 1,000 live births. During infancy, the risk <strong>of</strong> neonatal<br />

deaths <strong>and</strong> postneonatal deaths is 22 <strong>and</strong> 23 per 1,000 live births, respectvely. The proportion <strong>of</strong> child<br />

deaths that occurs in the neonatal period (34 percent) in <strong>Timor</strong>-<strong>Leste</strong> is lower than the global<br />

estimation <strong>of</strong> 38 percent (Lawn et al., 2005).<br />

<strong>10</strong>0 | Infant <strong>and</strong> Child Mortality

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