2013_14 IDP Review.pdf - KZN Development Planning

The graph below shows the household growth profile for the municipalities since1995 and projected to 2025Household growth projections7.3 Household sizeHousehold size is an important indicator for the demand for services sincethe number of people in a household determines consumption demand forwater, electricity, and waste disposal.The estimates shown in the table below was derived from the populationand households estimates in the previous sections. Household sizes arerelatively high but it is not exceptional for a rural environment. Allestimates show a small increase in household sizes. This is based on theassumption that there are no structural changes in the population.However, should the higher levels of migration in Umvoti, for examplematerialize, it might imply that they absorb more males, which are notnecessarily attached to an existing household. This implies more singlepersonhouseholds, which might then lower the average household size.The increase is however material to any spatial planning.Household size2 012 2 013 2 014 2 015 2 020 2 025Endumeni 4.25 4.34 4.44 4.55 5.08 5.04Nqutu 4.96 4.94 4.92 4.90 4.91 5.07Msinga 4.88 4.91 4.94 4.98 5.34 6.15Umvoti 4.36 4.42 4.49 4.56 4.94 5.36Total 4.69 4.72 4.75 4.79 5.05 5.447.4 Urban and rural distribution of householdsThere is no data available to describe the current distribution of people inthe area. Given the relative stability in the area and the low to negativegrowth prospects and the fact that there is no evidence of structuralchanges in the local demography, it is assumed that the position asreflected in Census 2001 is still valid. The following then applies:Population per settlement type 2012Urban Rural farm Rural Traditional TotalEndumeni 47 766 9 403 209 57 378Nqutu 10 891 5 141 146 812 162 845Msinga 1 505 2 075 185 087 188 667Umvoti 18 684 23 504 61 445 103 633Total per area 78 846 40 123 393 553 512 5228. The general economic structure and changes in themunicipal areaIrrespective of government policies, support strategies and interventions, itis the local economy and its linkages into the provincial and national oreven international economy that will determine the pace and nature offuture development.8.1 The structure of local economyUmzinyathi has a small economy. A small economy is usually also lessdiversified and exposed to higher risk levels. The change in the economicdevelopment path of the municipal area is reflected in the level of GVAgenerated per annum.Draft 2013/14 IDP Review Page 189Prepared by Umzinyathi District Municipality22 March 2013