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Pay TV phase three document - Stakeholders - Ofcom

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<strong>Pay</strong> <strong>TV</strong> <strong>phase</strong> <strong>three</strong> <strong>document</strong> – non-confidential version<br />

Responses to our consultation<br />

4.384 Sky considered that markets are broader, encompassing at least FTA channels,<br />

basic tier <strong>TV</strong> channels, audiovisual content from the internet and DVDs. In particular,<br />

it stated that there are now many more potential substitutes for Sky Movies than<br />

there were ten years ago 263 . Sky reported that the aggregate constraint from DVD<br />

rental and retail, VoD and an increasing number of films on basic and FTA <strong>TV</strong> was<br />

“having a major impact on <strong>TV</strong> retailers’ ability to attract subscribers to packages that<br />

included premium movie channels” 264 . It stated that despite flat inflation-adjusted<br />

prices since 2001 the number of subscribers to the channels was declining.<br />

Furthermore, fewer new subscribers tended to take Sky Movies.<br />

4.385 BT, Setanta, Top Up <strong>TV</strong>, Virgin Media, BBC, and [ � ] all agreed with <strong>Ofcom</strong>’s<br />

assessment of markets for premium movies channels.<br />

Demand side substitution<br />

Evidence of consumers’ response to price changes<br />

Our position in the First <strong>Pay</strong> <strong>TV</strong> Consultation<br />

4.386 In the First <strong>Pay</strong> <strong>TV</strong> Consultation we considered consumers’ responses to price<br />

changes since 2000. The number of subscribers has grown during the period –<br />

although subscriber numbers levelled off since 2004, and fell slightly in 2007. We<br />

considered that there did not appear to have been a significant change in the quality<br />

of the Movie package products over the period. In particular, the number of films<br />

broadcast on Sky Movie channels has remained relatively stable since 2001,<br />

although the addition of other services, such as “free” broadband on Sky or greater<br />

on-demand services on Virgin Media and Sky could be viewed as a quality change.<br />

4.387 We found that consumers stated response to hypothetical price rises indicated that<br />

there was a strong price response to relatively small changes in prices. However, we<br />

stated that the magnitude of these results should be treated with caution as prices<br />

may be above competitive levels and there was a risk of stated preference bias.<br />

Responses to our consultation<br />

4.388 Sky believed that our survey evidence on consumers’ stated response to hypothetical<br />

price rises was strong evidence that consumers were price elastic. It stated that,<br />

unless there was strong and compelling evidence that prices were above competitive<br />

levels, we should accept that the results indicate that consumers are very pricesensitive.<br />

4.389 BT stated that the high level of switching indicated by the results could be as a result<br />

of cellophane fallacy pricing, and that therefore by relying on this data we might draw<br />

excessively broad markets.<br />

263 Sky response Annex 2 paragraph 3.73 – 3.81.<br />

264 Sky response paragraph 6.36.<br />

132

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