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Pay TV phase three document - Stakeholders - Ofcom

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Figure 67 Cost-plus cost stack<br />

£ per subscriber per month<br />

18<br />

16<br />

14<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

0.98<br />

8.09<br />

1.46<br />

4.19<br />

1.06<br />

10.28<br />

Sky Sports 1 Single Movies Sky Sports 1 &<br />

2<br />

<strong>Pay</strong> <strong>TV</strong> <strong>phase</strong> <strong>three</strong> <strong>document</strong> – non-confidential version<br />

9.178 We have also undertaken sensitivities on our cost-plus calculations for some of the<br />

key parameters. In particular, we have considered sensitivities based on:<br />

� Allocations of common costs between wholesale, retail and platform functions of<br />

Sky’s overall business;<br />

� Allocations of common costs between residential and commercial subscribers;<br />

� Forecasts of the total addressable market for premium subscribers; and<br />

� Forecasts of future rights fees.<br />

9.179 With respect to common cost allocation between wholesale, retail and platform<br />

functions, we have considered percentage variations which both increase and<br />

decrease the amount of common costs to be recovered from Sky’s wholesale<br />

business; this has a corresponding impact on the cost-plus charges. Increasing the<br />

allocation of common costs to Sky’s wholesale function by 5, 10 and 15 percentage<br />

points increases weighted average cost-plus charges by £0.17 (1%), £0.33 (2%) and<br />

£0.49 (4%) respectively in the first year. The effect is symmetrical. Reducing the<br />

allocation of common costs to Sky’s wholesale function by these percentages has a<br />

similar effect on weighted average cost-plus charges in the opposite direction. These<br />

figures illustrate the sensitivity of cost-plus wholesale charges to cost allocation<br />

decisions.<br />

9.180 Similarly, we have considered the impact on the amount of common cost recovery<br />

from Sky’s wholesale business of allocating common costs between residential and<br />

commercial subscribers on the basis of subscriber numbers rather than revenue.<br />

This has the effect of increasing the amount of common costs to be recovered from<br />

residential subscribers, and hence increases the cost-plus charges. Changing the<br />

allocation method to be on the basis of subscriber numbers increases the weighted<br />

average cost-plus charge from £13.57 to £14.24 (an increase of about 5%) in the first<br />

year.<br />

1.53<br />

4.12<br />

Sky Movies<br />

Mix<br />

2.54<br />

14.44<br />

2.39<br />

12.32<br />

Sky Sports 1 & Sky Sports 1 &<br />

2 and Movies Single Movies<br />

Mix<br />

Other premium wholesale costs Premium rights and programming costs<br />

305

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