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Pay TV phase three document - Stakeholders - Ofcom

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<strong>Pay</strong> <strong>TV</strong> <strong>phase</strong> <strong>three</strong> <strong>document</strong> – non-confidential version<br />

recognised that channels outside of the relevant market nonetheless exerted a<br />

competitive constraint to a degree.<br />

5.33 We have thus considered the extent of the constraint imposed by ‘out of market’<br />

products. In particular, we have calculated market shares as if moderate substitutes<br />

for Sky Sports 1 and 2 were within the relevant market. We have taken into account<br />

leading events in the main sports broadcast on Sky Sports 1 and 2 (namely football,<br />

cricket, tennis, golf, rugby union and rugby league). We have not included other wellknown<br />

sports such as the Olympics or Formula One motorsports since we believe<br />

that they are poor substitutes for the events broadcast on Sky Sports 1 and 2. These<br />

market shares provide an upper estimate for the strength of the competitive<br />

constraint that may be exercised by products that lie somewhat outside of the<br />

relevant market but that may nonetheless act as (imperfect) substitutes 283 .<br />

5.34 We have calculated market shares that include moderate ‘out of market’ substitutes<br />

based on the price of the rights of leading events in the six sports listed in the<br />

previous paragraph 284 . While there are a number of gaps in the underlying data, we<br />

do have data on the most valuable sporting events (including FAPL matches) and we<br />

believe that the broad results are informative. These alternative market share figures<br />

are set out in Figure 39 below. This shows that in 2008 Sky accounted for<br />

approximately [ � ]% [60-70%] of the expenditure on rights on leading football,<br />

cricket, tennis, golf, rugby union and rugby league events.<br />

Figure 39 Wholesale market shares in 2008 including ‘out of market’ constraints<br />

(calculated using expenditure on relevant sporting events)<br />

Sky Setanta BBC I<strong>TV</strong> Other<br />

[60-70]% [10-20]% [0-10]% [10-20]% [0-10]%<br />

Source: <strong>Ofcom</strong> calculations<br />

5.35 We recognise that, in the case of listed events, calculating market shares using rights<br />

prices is likely to understate the strength of free to air channels’ competitive position<br />

(the restrictions on broadcasting these events exclusively on pay <strong>TV</strong> are likely to<br />

lower the price of the rights to listed events). However, the effect on the market<br />

shares presented above is unlikely to be large given the relatively small number of<br />

listed events that are relevant to this calculation 285 . We thus consider that Sky enjoys<br />

a very high market share, even if moderate ‘out of market’ substitutes are taken into<br />

283 We previously considered the impact of including other football matches on the market definition<br />

set out in the Second <strong>Pay</strong> <strong>TV</strong> Consultation in paragraphs 2.27-2.36 of Annex 7. That analysis has<br />

been updated to reflect the changes in this <strong>document</strong> to the market definition.<br />

284 Direct assessment of revenues is complicated by the challenge of disaggregating advertising<br />

revenues for the relevant matches, so we have not used this measure. Unlike the Second <strong>Pay</strong> <strong>TV</strong><br />

Consultation, we have not used audience figures to calculated market shares including ‘out of market’<br />

constraints. This measure has limited accuracy (comparing viewers between free to air and pay <strong>TV</strong><br />

channels is imperfect since free to air channels will attract viewers with only a weak preference for the<br />

event in question) and thus we considered that recalculation on this basis would not add material<br />

value to our analysis.<br />

285 The relevant “Group A” listed events are the FA Cup Final, the Wimbledon Tennis Finals, the<br />

Rugby League Challenge Cup Final and the European Football Championship Finals.<br />

145

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