The United States and China in Power Transition - Strategic Studies ...
The United States and China in Power Transition - Strategic Studies ...
The United States and China in Power Transition - Strategic Studies ...
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<strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> could have dem<strong>and</strong>ed the “return” of the South<br />
<strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> Sea isl<strong>and</strong>s <strong>in</strong> the Cairo Declaration. Indeed, the<br />
<strong>United</strong> <strong>States</strong>, the UK, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> were the only three<br />
“Great Allied <strong>Power</strong>s” gather<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> Cairo to map out<br />
the post-war East Asia territorial rearrangement (Vietnam,<br />
Malaysia, <strong>and</strong> the Philipp<strong>in</strong>es were not even <strong>in</strong>dependent<br />
countries yet). Moreover, <strong>in</strong> 1946, the ROC<br />
government dispatched warships to “recover” the<br />
Paracel <strong>and</strong> Spratly isl<strong>and</strong>s. 107 In a world that emphasized<br />
effective control rather than historical claims, 108<br />
<strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> could have kept its troops there to exercise<br />
effective control of those territories <strong>and</strong> establish<br />
<strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong>’s unbroken <strong>and</strong> unchallengeable possession of<br />
those isl<strong>and</strong>s. Ch<strong>in</strong>ese leaders are themselves to blame<br />
for fail<strong>in</strong>g to do so <strong>and</strong> neglect<strong>in</strong>g the South <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> Sea<br />
Isl<strong>and</strong>s for decades thereafter. 109 <strong>The</strong>ir repeated protests<br />
aga<strong>in</strong>st the <strong>United</strong> <strong>States</strong> <strong>and</strong> the other claimants<br />
<strong>and</strong> their statements about the South <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> Sea Isl<strong>and</strong>s<br />
“historically belong<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> (自古以来属于<br />
中国),” or as “<strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong>’s <strong>in</strong>tr<strong>in</strong>sic <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>separable territories<br />
(中国固有和不可分割的领土),” although necessary<br />
for <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> to uphold its claims, sounded pa<strong>in</strong>fully<br />
hollow. 110 Ch<strong>in</strong>ese leaders wasted all their time <strong>and</strong><br />
energy engag<strong>in</strong>g the Ch<strong>in</strong>ese <strong>in</strong> “perpetual revolution<br />
<strong>and</strong> class struggle (继续革命与阶级斗争)” aga<strong>in</strong>st each<br />
other at home, while leav<strong>in</strong>g the disputed territories<br />
unattended offshore.<br />
In the meantime, Vietnam <strong>and</strong> the Philipp<strong>in</strong>es<br />
cont<strong>in</strong>ued their efforts (<strong>in</strong> acts, not only <strong>in</strong> words) to<br />
secure their claims <strong>and</strong> exercise effective control over<br />
the South <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> Sea isl<strong>and</strong>s. 111 By the early 1970s,<br />
word came that the South <strong>and</strong> East <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> Seas had<br />
vast deposits of fossil fuel <strong>and</strong> natural gas. <strong>The</strong> negotiation<br />
of the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea<br />
was also mak<strong>in</strong>g progress—the world would soon<br />
divide up the “ocean commons” <strong>and</strong> allow the ocean<br />
130