The United States and China in Power Transition - Strategic Studies ...
The United States and China in Power Transition - Strategic Studies ...
The United States and China in Power Transition - Strategic Studies ...
Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
way <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> develops, <strong>and</strong> guard aga<strong>in</strong>st <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> <strong>in</strong> case<br />
it turns bad. With respect to <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong>’s unsettled external<br />
problems, the <strong>United</strong> <strong>States</strong> will cont<strong>in</strong>ue to be at<br />
odds with <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong>’s authoritarian government over the<br />
nature of its claimed <strong>in</strong>terests <strong>and</strong> the way this government<br />
h<strong>and</strong>les disputes. In short, the ideological<br />
divide between <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> <strong>and</strong> the <strong>United</strong> <strong>States</strong> ensures<br />
that the two governments do not take each other with<br />
trust <strong>and</strong> do not see eye to eye on each other’s vital<br />
<strong>in</strong>terests. 204 Underp<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g the U.S. sense of ideological<br />
superiority over <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> is the superpower’s <strong>in</strong>fluential<br />
<strong>and</strong> globally-positioned material power. This power<br />
allows the <strong>United</strong> <strong>States</strong> to apply a heavy-h<strong>and</strong>ed approach<br />
to <strong>in</strong>ternational affairs. <strong>The</strong> U.S. deal<strong>in</strong>gs with<br />
<strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> are no exception.<br />
<strong>The</strong> rise of <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> is now putt<strong>in</strong>g the U.S. capability<br />
<strong>in</strong> question. Ch<strong>in</strong>ese PLA Senior Colonel Liu M<strong>in</strong>gfu<br />
(刘明福) argues that ideological conflict is only a<br />
smokescreen, <strong>and</strong> the real problem of the <strong>United</strong><br />
<strong>States</strong> with <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> is its hard power development. Liu<br />
asserts that even if <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> were to become a democracy<br />
tomorrow, the <strong>United</strong> <strong>States</strong> would still have problems<br />
with <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong>, because the <strong>United</strong> <strong>States</strong>, <strong>in</strong> President<br />
Obama’s words, does not accept second place (if<br />
this sounds familiar, it is because Liu is talk<strong>in</strong>g like the<br />
American “offensive realist” John Mearsheimer). 205<br />
In recent decades, there have been unabated assertions<br />
about the decl<strong>in</strong>e of U.S. power. Some also<br />
believe that the decade-long war on terrorism has cost<br />
the <strong>United</strong> <strong>States</strong> tremendously, <strong>and</strong> the recent f<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />
crisis has dealt the <strong>United</strong> <strong>States</strong> another heavy<br />
blow. However, many hold that the <strong>United</strong> <strong>States</strong><br />
will be able to rebound <strong>and</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>ue to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> its<br />
lead<strong>in</strong>g power for a long time to come. 206 By many<br />
accounts, these optimistic views have it right. Most<br />
175