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The United States and China in Power Transition - Strategic Studies ...

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power <strong>and</strong> guns <strong>and</strong> to “mechanized warfare” with<br />

the employment of tanks, battleships, <strong>and</strong> airplanes),<br />

<strong>and</strong> determ<strong>in</strong>ed that <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> must take measures to<br />

catch up with this RMA <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>formation age. 222<br />

<strong>The</strong> other catalyst for change was the Taiwan Strait<br />

crisis of 1995-96, dur<strong>in</strong>g which the <strong>United</strong> <strong>States</strong> made<br />

a strong show of force <strong>in</strong> the Western Pacific, perhaps<br />

the largest s<strong>in</strong>ce World War II. Ch<strong>in</strong>ese leaders suddenly<br />

found themselves confront<strong>in</strong>g the Taiwan <strong>in</strong>dependence<br />

movement (prior to that time, the Taiwan<br />

issue was mostly an unf<strong>in</strong>ished war between the CCP<br />

<strong>and</strong> KMT <strong>and</strong> Taiwan <strong>in</strong>dependence was not <strong>in</strong> question),<br />

but its ability to deter Taiwan’s push for <strong>in</strong>dependence<br />

<strong>and</strong> likely U.S. military <strong>in</strong>tervention abhorrently<br />

<strong>in</strong>adequate. To protect its claimed core <strong>in</strong>terests,<br />

<strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> must upgrade its military power immediately.<br />

F<strong>in</strong>ally, the U.S.-<strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> power transition also surfaced<br />

<strong>in</strong> time to rem<strong>in</strong>d the Ch<strong>in</strong>ese leaders that they<br />

needed a strong military to support <strong>and</strong> protect <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong>’s<br />

rise to power. Although Ch<strong>in</strong>ese leaders spoke<br />

out loud their proposition for <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong>’s peaceful rise,<br />

they had every reason to observe the old say<strong>in</strong>g that,<br />

if you want peace, prepare for war.<br />

<strong>The</strong>se challeng<strong>in</strong>g situations required <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong>’s<br />

policy adjustment. Back <strong>in</strong> the early days of <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong>’s<br />

economic reform, Deng Xiaop<strong>in</strong>g put <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong>’s military<br />

modernization on the back burner. He was on record<br />

as <strong>in</strong>struct<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong>’s military leaders that military<br />

modernization had to wait until <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> quadrupled<br />

the size of its economy, hopefully by the end of the<br />

20th century. 223 However, the new circumstances dictated<br />

that <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> set its military modernization <strong>in</strong> motion<br />

ahead of schedule. “To build a prosperous nation<br />

with a strong military” (富国强军) was <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong>’s answer<br />

to the challenges. 224<br />

190

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