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The United States and China in Power Transition - Strategic Studies ...

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complicate the Tibet problem <strong>and</strong> loosen up the Tibetans-<strong>in</strong>-exile<br />

to pursue their course with resort to violent<br />

means. Zhu Weiqun said that <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong> would not be<br />

afraid to meet force with force if the Tibetans were to<br />

turn violent. As Zhu put it, “we have fought before;<br />

you should remember your defeats <strong>in</strong> the past; <strong>and</strong><br />

there is no chance for you <strong>in</strong> the future.” 191 This future,<br />

accord<strong>in</strong>g to Wang Lixiong (王力雄), a noted Ch<strong>in</strong>ese<br />

dissident writer <strong>and</strong> self-made Tibetan observer, for<br />

the Tibetans as well as the Ch<strong>in</strong>ese, is doomed. 192<br />

X<strong>in</strong>jiang, <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong>, <strong>and</strong> the <strong>United</strong> <strong>States</strong>. In many<br />

ways, X<strong>in</strong>jiang is more complicated <strong>and</strong> explosive<br />

than Tibet. Unlike the homogenous Tibet, X<strong>in</strong>jiang<br />

has many different ethnic groups long<strong>in</strong>g for different<br />

futures. While the Tibetans have the Dalai Lama<br />

as a religious leader preach<strong>in</strong>g for nonviolent ways to<br />

pursue their goals, the ethnic groups <strong>in</strong> X<strong>in</strong>jiang are<br />

fragmented <strong>and</strong> have no commonly-accepted leaders.<br />

Worse, many <strong>in</strong> X<strong>in</strong>jiang are <strong>in</strong>fluenced by their<br />

radical <strong>and</strong> extremist Muslim brethren <strong>in</strong> the troubled<br />

areas of Central Asia <strong>and</strong> the Middle East, <strong>and</strong> look to<br />

their experience for answers to the X<strong>in</strong>jiang problem.<br />

What is the X<strong>in</strong>jiang problem? It is about the fate<br />

of a piece of l<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> the very center of Asia known <strong>in</strong><br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>ese as the “Western <strong>and</strong> New Territory” (西域新<br />

疆) or <strong>in</strong> Uyghur separatist terms, “East Turkistan.” 193<br />

<strong>The</strong> issue is whether it should stay as an “<strong>in</strong>tr<strong>in</strong>sic <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>separable part of <strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong>,” or become an <strong>in</strong>dependent<br />

homel<strong>and</strong> for the Uyghur people, or to be partitioned<br />

along ethnic l<strong>in</strong>es to accommodate the <strong>in</strong>terests of the<br />

East Turkic ethnic groups <strong>and</strong> the Han Ch<strong>in</strong>ese.<br />

<strong>The</strong> X<strong>in</strong>jiang problem has a long history. <strong>The</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>ese<br />

claim of this l<strong>and</strong>, for <strong>in</strong>stance, goes back to dynastic<br />

<strong>Ch<strong>in</strong>a</strong>’s Western Han era of 200 BC. Over the<br />

ages, there have been changes of possession among<br />

168

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