PREDICTIONS â 10 Years Later - Santa Fe Institute

More documents

Recommendations

Info

APPENDIX C APPENDIX FIGURE 4.5 The creativity curves of five contemporary individuals. For each case we see the cumulative number of works and the corresponding S- curve as determined by a fit. The dotted lines are extrapolations of the curves. Under ordinary circumstances these people should achieve the 90% levels indicated. The small circles denote recent data. 295
APPENDIX C 296
Page 2:
PREDICTIONS - 10 Years Later Ten ye
Page 6 and 7:
Copyright © 2002 by Theodore Modis
Page 8 and 9:
CONTENTS Going West 53 Mesopotamia,
Page 10 and 11:
CONTENTS 10. IF I CAN, I WANT 225 W
Page 13 and 14:
PREFACE This book is about seeing t
Page 15 and 16:
PROLOGUE The fisherman starting his
Page 17 and 18:
PROLOGUE analogy between natural la
Page 19 and 20:
PROLOGUE animal population and foll
Page 21 and 22:
PROLOGUE stead; and those who belie
Page 23 and 24:
1 Science and Foretelling A barman
Page 25 and 26:
1. SCIENCE AND FORETELLING prices,
Page 27 and 28:
1. SCIENCE AND FORETELLING the futu
Page 29 and 30:
1. SCIENCE AND FORETELLING Safety i
Page 31 and 32:
1. SCIENCE AND FORETELLING But exam
Page 33 and 34:
1. SCIENCE AND FORETELLING programm
Page 35 and 36:
1. SCIENCE AND FORETELLING terpreta
Page 37 and 38:
1. SCIENCE AND FORETELLING On the o
Page 39 and 40:
1. SCIENCE AND FORETELLING terms of
Page 41 and 42:
1. SCIENCE AND FORETELLING THE LAW
Page 43 and 44:
1. SCIENCE AND FORETELLING resolved
Page 45 and 46:
1. SCIENCE AND FORETELLING by hard
Page 47 and 48:
2 Needles in a Haystack HOW MUCH OR
Page 49 and 50:
2. NEEDLES IN A HAYSTACK able to fi
Page 51 and 52:
2. NEEDLES IN A HAYSTACK LEARNING F
Page 53 and 54:
2. NEEDLES IN A HAYSTACK Intel’s
Page 55 and 56:
2. NEEDLES IN A HAYSTACK looks like
Page 57 and 58:
2. NEEDLES IN A HAYSTACK documentat
Page 59 and 60:
2. NEEDLES IN A HAYSTACK MESOPOTAMI
Page 61:
2. NEEDLES IN A HAYSTACK derstandin
Page 64 and 65:
3. INANIMATE PRODUCTION LIKE ANIMAT
Page 66 and 67:
Page 68 and 69:
Page 70 and 71:
Page 72 and 73:
Page 74 and 75:
Page 76 and 77:
Page 78 and 79:
Page 80 and 81:
Page 82 and 83:
Page 84 and 85:
Page 86 and 87:
4. THE RISE AND FALL OF CREATIVITY
Page 88 and 89:
Page 90 and 91:
Page 92 and 93:
Page 94 and 95:
Page 96 and 97:
Page 98 and 99:
Page 100 and 101:
Page 102 and 103:
Page 105 and 106:
5 Good Guys and Bad Guys Compete th
Page 107 and 108:
5. GOOD GUYS AND BAD GUYS COMPETE T
Page 109 and 110:
Page 111 and 112:
Page 113 and 114:
Page 115 and 116:
Page 117 and 118:
Page 119 and 120:
Page 121 and 122:
Page 123 and 124:
6 A Hard Fact of Life Natural growt
Page 125 and 126:
6. A HARD FACT OF LIFE avoid wrong
Page 127 and 128:
6. A HARD FACT OF LIFE one substitu
Page 129 and 130:
6. A HARD FACT OF LIFE place in a n
Page 131 and 132:
6. A HARD FACT OF LIFE DETERGENTS S
Page 133 and 134:
6. A HARD FACT OF LIFE The percenta
Page 135 and 136:
6. A HARD FACT OF LIFE During the l
Page 137 and 138:
6. A HARD FACT OF LIFE Another inno
Page 139 and 140:
6. A HARD FACT OF LIFE replacement.
Page 141 and 142:
6. A HARD FACT OF LIFE soldiers opp
Page 143:
6. A HARD FACT OF LIFE takes place
Page 146 and 147:
7. COMPETITION IS THE CREATOR AND T
Page 148 and 149:
Page 150 and 151:
Page 152 and 153:
Page 154 and 155:
Page 156 and 157:
Page 158 and 159:
Page 160 and 161:
Page 162 and 163:
Page 164 and 165:
Page 166 and 167:
Page 168 and 169:
Page 170 and 171:
Page 172 and 173:
Page 174 and 175:
Page 176 and 177:
Page 178 and 179:
8. A COSMIC HEARTBEAT consumption d
Page 180 and 181:
8. A COSMIC HEARTBEAT compare the d
Page 182 and 183:
8. A COSMIC HEARTBEAT seems to puls
Page 184 and 185:
8. A COSMIC HEARTBEAT spikes stand
Page 186 and 187:
8. A COSMIC HEARTBEAT Marchetti fit
Page 188 and 189:
8. A COSMIC HEARTBEAT the predicted
Page 190 and 191:
8. A COSMIC HEARTBEAT according to
Page 192 and 193:
8. A COSMIC HEARTBEAT It is equally
Page 194 and 195:
8. A COSMIC HEARTBEAT Finally, ther
Page 196 and 197:
8. A COSMIC HEARTBEAT Ten Years Lat
Page 198 and 199:
8. A COSMIC HEARTBEAT having the th
Page 200 and 201:
8. A COSMIC HEARTBEAT The number fi
Page 202 and 203:
9. REACHING THE CEILING EVERYWHERE
Page 204 and 205:
Ten Years Later 9. REACHING THE CEI
Page 206 and 207:
Page 208 and 209:
Page 210 and 211:
Page 212 and 213:
Page 214 and 215:
Page 216 and 217:
Page 218 and 219:
Page 220 and 221:
Page 222 and 223:
Ten Years Later 9. REACHING THE CEI
Page 224 and 225:
Page 227 and 228:
10 If I Can, I Want Logistic functi
Page 229 and 230:
10. IF I CAN, I WANT ability become
Page 231 and 232:
10. IF I CAN, I WANT Christopher Co
Page 233 and 234:
10. IF I CAN, I WANT The search for
Page 235 and 236:
10. IF I CAN, I WANT look like an S
Page 237 and 238:
10. IF I CAN, I WANT producing chao
Page 239 and 240:
10. IF I CAN, I WANT First commerci
Page 241 and 242:
10. IF I CAN, I WANT In addition to
Page 243 and 244:
10. IF I CAN, I WANT Between two su
Page 245 and 246:
10. IF I CAN, I WANT The state depi
Page 247: 10. IF I CAN, I WANT to sustain one
Page 250 and 251: 11. FORECASTING DESTINY announced i
Page 252 and 253: 11. FORECASTING DESTINY The “natu
Page 254 and 255: 11. FORECASTING DESTINY In 1975, as
Page 256 and 257: 11. FORECASTING DESTINY The country
Page 258 and 259: 11. FORECASTING DESTINY feedback me
Page 260 and 261: 11. FORECASTING DESTINY States, rec
Page 262 and 263: 11. FORECASTING DESTINY in 1991 pro
Page 264 and 265: 11. FORECASTING DESTINY least four
Page 266 and 267: 11. FORECASTING DESTINY United Stat
Page 268 and 269: 11. FORECASTING DESTINY which would
Page 271 and 272: EPILOGUE • • • We are in Cent
Page 273 and 274: EPILOGUE Fads and media stories abo
Page 275 and 276: APPENDICES 273
Page 277 and 278: APPENDIX A The Predator-Prey Equati
Page 279 and 280: APPENDIX A the two varieties will b
Page 281 and 282: APPENDIX A By assigning weights to
Page 283 and 284: APPENDIX B As an example, let us co
Page 285 and 286: APPENDIX C Additional Figures THE N
Page 287 and 288: APPENDIX C POPULATIONS OF CARS GROW
Page 289 and 290: APPENDIX C RAILWAY NETWORKS GROW LI
Page 291 and 292: APPENDIX C GOTHIC CATHEDRALS APPEND
Page 293 and 294: APPENDIX C OIL PRODUCTION AND DISCO
Page 295 and 296: APPENDIX C ERNEST HEMINGWAY (1899-1
Page 297: APPENDIX C THE BIRTH RATE OF AMERIC
Page 301 and 302: APPENDIX C WORLD WAR II FAVORED TUB
Page 303 and 304: APPENDIX C THE EXIT OF STEAM ENGINE
Page 305 and 306: APPENDIX C 302
Page 307 and 308: APPENDIX C THE DESTRUCTION OF THRES
Page 309 and 310: APPENDIX C WARS MAY INTERFERE WITH
Page 311 and 312: APPENDIX C COMPETITION BETWEEN TRAN
Page 313 and 314: APPENDIX C ANNUAL ENERGY CONSUMPTIO
Page 315 and 316: APPENDIX C THE GROWTH OF AIR TRAFFI
Page 317 and 318: APPENDIX C Annual registrations 6,0
Page 319 and 320: APPENDIX C POPULARIZED DEATHS HAVE
Page 322 and 323: NOTES AND SOURCES Prologue 1. Donel
Page 324 and 325: NOTES AND SOURCES the Law Followed
Page 326 and 327: NOTES AND SOURCES 4. For examples s
Page 328 and 329: NOTES AND SOURCES bile Road to Tech
Page 330 and 331: NOTES AND SOURCES 2. For a brief de
Page 332: NOTES AND SOURCES Appendix B: Expec
Page 335 and 336: ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Bagwell, my initia
show all

PREDICTIONS â 10 Years Later - Santa Fe Institute

Create successful ePaper yourself

Delete template?

Save as template?

PREDICTIONS â 10 Years Later - Santa Fe Institute