PREDICTIONS – 10 Years Later - Santa Fe Institute

APPENDIX C
Cumulative number
of victims
LIVES CLAIMED BY THE RED BRIGADES
100
80
60
40
20
0
1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987
APPENDIX FIGURE 5.1 The cumulative number of Red Brigade victims and a fit.
The estimate of the ceiling is 99. The group's activities claimed 90% of it. ∗
∗ This figure has been adapted from one by Cesare Marchetti with a nonlinear scale; see
C. Marchetti, “Intelligence at Work: Life Cycles for Painters, Writers, and Criminals,”
invited paper to the Conference on The Evolutionary Biology of Intelligence, organized
by the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s Advanced Study Institute, Poppi,
Italy, July 8-20, 1986, a report of the International Institute of Advanced Systems
Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.
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