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Science, Strategy and War The Strategic Theory of ... - Boekje Pienter

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system in which complex structures developed from simpler forms. Whereas in biologyevolution meant a movement toward increasing order <strong>and</strong> complexity, in physics(thermodynamics) it came to mean just the opposite - a movement toward increasingdisorder. This grim picture <strong>of</strong> cosmic evolution is in sharp contrast to the ideas <strong>of</strong> biologists<strong>and</strong> the emergence <strong>of</strong> evolution in physics thus brought to light a limitation <strong>of</strong> theNewtonian theory. <strong>The</strong> mechanistic conception <strong>of</strong> the universe as a system <strong>of</strong> billiard balls inr<strong>and</strong>om motion is far too simplistic to deal with the evolution <strong>of</strong> life 80 . Relativity theory <strong>and</strong>atomic physics shattered all the principal concepts <strong>of</strong> the Newtonian world view: the notion<strong>of</strong> absolute space <strong>and</strong> time, the elementary solid particles, the strictly causal nature <strong>of</strong>physical phenomena, <strong>and</strong> the ideal <strong>of</strong> an objective description <strong>of</strong> nature 81 . <strong>The</strong> philosophicalimplication <strong>of</strong> the theory was that time can change <strong>and</strong> depends on the circumstances, <strong>and</strong>the position <strong>of</strong> the observer is essential for the measurement <strong>of</strong> time, a theme that was tobecome one <strong>of</strong> the characteristics <strong>of</strong> the new physics <strong>of</strong> the first three decades <strong>of</strong> the 20 thCentury. <strong>The</strong> universe is experienced as a dynamic inseparable whole, which always includesthe observer in an essential way, as Capra noted 82 .Quantum theory delivered the third blow to the Newtonian worldview. Whererelativity theory is valid on the very large cosmological scale <strong>and</strong> replaces Newtonian physics,in the realm <strong>of</strong> elementary particles, atoms, <strong>and</strong> molecules, quantum theory replaces classicalphysics 83 . Ever since Newton physicists had believed that all physical phenomena could bereduced to the properties <strong>of</strong> hard <strong>and</strong> solid material particles. Quantum theory forces themto accept the fact that the solid material objects <strong>of</strong> classical physics dissolve at the subatomiclevel into wavelike patterns <strong>of</strong> probabilities. <strong>The</strong>re is wave-particle duality 84 . <strong>The</strong>se patterns,moreover, do not represent probabilities <strong>of</strong> things, but rather probabilities <strong>of</strong>interconnections. <strong>The</strong> subatomic particles have no meaning as isolated entities but can beunderstood only as interconnections, or correlations, among various processes <strong>of</strong>observation <strong>and</strong> measurement. In other words, subatomic particles are not things butinterconnections among things. Shifting the attention from macroscopic objects to atoms<strong>and</strong> subatomic particles, nature does not show us any isolated building blocks, but ratherappears as a complex web <strong>of</strong> relationships among the various parts <strong>of</strong> a unified whole. <strong>The</strong>serelationships are expressed in quantum theory in probabilities, which are determined by thedynamics <strong>of</strong> the whole system. Whereas in classical mechanics the properties <strong>and</strong> behavior <strong>of</strong>the parts determine those <strong>of</strong> the whole, the situation is reversed in quantum mechanics. It isthe whole that determines the parts.<strong>The</strong> duality feature also led Werner Heisenberg in 1927 to formulate his famous“uncertainty (or indeterminacy) principle”, which Boyd incorporated in Destruction <strong>and</strong>Creation <strong>and</strong> A New Conception for Air-to-Air Combat, <strong>and</strong> referred to in most otherpresentations. Heisenberg noted that it is possible to determine the coordinate <strong>of</strong> asubatomic particle, but the moment we do so, the momentum <strong>of</strong> the particle will acquire anarbitrary value, <strong>and</strong> vise versa. We can measure coordinates or movements, but not both. Itmeant that the more precisely we know the measured value <strong>of</strong> one quantity, the greater the80 Capra (1982), p.72-74.81 Fritj<strong>of</strong> Capra, <strong>The</strong> Tao <strong>of</strong> Physics (Shambala, Boston, Mass.,1975), pp.61-62.82 Ibid, p.81 (note that this work was on Boyd's early reading lists).83 Peter Coveney & Roger Highfield, <strong>The</strong> Arrow <strong>of</strong> Time (Flamingo, London, 1991), p.107.84 Ibid, p.114. This book gives a very detailed yet accessible account <strong>of</strong> developments in physics in thepast century. For quantum mechanics, <strong>and</strong> a concise discussion <strong>of</strong> Heisenberg’s uncertainty principle,see chapter 4. Likewise, Prigogine <strong>and</strong> Stengers give a historical overview <strong>of</strong> the scientificdevelopments <strong>of</strong> the past century leading up to complexity theory in the 1980’s. <strong>The</strong>y focus more onthe second law <strong>of</strong> thermodynamics.97

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